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November 22, 2025

Trump, Mamdani strike friendly tone

September 22, 2025

Sept. 22, 2025, 8:04 AM EDT / Updated Sept. 22, 2025, 11:58 AM EDTBy Freddie ClaytonDrones over Poland. Fighter jets above Estonia. Surveillance planes over the Baltic Sea.To U.S. allies in Europe, the pattern is unmistakable: A deliberate campaign of escalation from the Kremlin, designed to probe NATO’s defenses and political resolve. The question hanging over an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council on Monday is how exactly the alliance will respond.As NATO struggles to turn alarm into action, officials and analysts urged a more forceful response and warned that hesitation risks emboldening Russian President Vladimir Putin. But questions about U.S. support, escalation risks and what this growing threat means for Ukraine remain unresolved. Estonia, which called for the Security Council meeting after three Russian MiG-31 fighter aircraft entered its airspace for 12 minutes without permission last week, pressed members to address what it described as a “blatant, reckless, and flagrant violation of NATO airspace” and Russia’s “repeated violations of international law.”Russia’s actions “undermine principles vital to the security of all U.N. member states,” Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna said Sunday in a post on X. Claims that Russia violated Estonian airspace were “baseless” and “aimed at escalating tensions,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Monday, adding that Russia operated within international regulations. So far, NATO’s response has largely been limited to meeting rooms as Moscow’s probing exposes a contrast between European leaders’ urgent calls for action and President Donald Trump’s more muted response.A Russian MiG-31 fighter jet that took part in the violation of Estonian airspace, in a photo released by the Swedish armed forces.Swedish Armed Forces / via ReutersAsked by reporters Sunday whether Washington would come to the defense of Poland and the Baltic states if Russia attacks, Trump said: “Yeah I would.”And on Monday Mike Walz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations told the Security Council meeting that the events left “the impression either Russia wants to escalate or doesn’t have full control of its fighter planes and drones.” Either scenario, he said, was “very disconcerting.” The U.S. “will defend every inch of NATO territory,” he said, adding that he expected “Russia to seek ways to de escalate, not risk expansion.” At the same meeting, Britain’s Foreign Minister Yvette Cooper also warned that Russia’s incursions into NATO territory risked triggering an armed conflict. “Your reckless actions risk direct armed confrontation between NATO and Russia. Our alliance is defensive but be under no illusion we stand ready to defend NATO’s skies and NATO’s territory,” she said. “If we need to confront planes operating in NATO space without permission then we will do so,” she added. This drew an immediate rebuke from Moscow, which dismissed Europe’s concerns as groundless and hysterical.NATO’s response to this ratcheting Russian activity amounts to the launch of operation “Eastern Sentry” earlier this month to bolster the defense of Europe’s eastern flank in response to a series of Russian drone incursions over Poland. After Germany and Sweden scrambled fighter jets Sunday to intercept and track a Russian surveillance plane flying unidentified over the Baltic Sea, one regional leader said Russia was not just testing NATO’s response, but was also aiming to reduce support for Ukraine by compelling countries to redirect resources.Calibrating how to respond to Russia was not easy, Latvian President Edgars Rinkevics said on social media, adding that Russia was doing just enough not to cross a red line.European confidence about backing from Washington has been shaken by Ukraine, where Trump has so far stopped short of imposing his promised punishment of further sanctions on the Kremlin for refusing peace talks. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that he was preparing for an “intense week” at the U.N. General Assembly in New York, where he hopes to build support for efforts to stop Russia’s invasion.Ukraine has also submitted a request to attend the Security Council meeting and present its position.The aftermath of a Russian missile attack Saturday, in Dnipro, Ukraine. Denys Poliakov / Global Images Ukraine via Getty ImagesBut Europe’s security will require decisive action, and that will not happen at a Security Council meeting, “for the very simple reason that Russia has a veto on the council,” said Keir Giles, a senior fellow at Chatham House, a London-based think tankUnable to rely on Trump’s “shifting position” on Russia, Giles told NBC News, the “coalition of the willing” — European nations that say they are prepared to underwrite security guarantees for Ukraine — must become the “coalition of the able and actually doing something.”Poland will not hesitate to shoot down objects that violate its airspace and pose a threat, its prime minister said Monday. But, he said, his country would take a more cautious approach when dealing with situations that are less clear-cut, and would need to know it had its allies’ support.”You really need to think twice before deciding on actions that could trigger a very acute phase of conflict,” Donald Tusk told a news conference.Trump met with Putin in Alaska but his peace push in Ukraine has stalled.Kevin Lamarque / ReutersHesitation, analysts said, risks sending a dangerous signal.“Europe and NATO have to show the will to respond forcefully to Russia,” said Moritz Brake, a senior fellow at the Center for Advanced Security, Strategic and Integration Studies.“Russia is trying to gauge whether it’s possible to single out individual elements of the alliance,” he said in a phone interview. A forceful approach, Brake argued, would involve not just intercepting Russian aircraft, but also sending “manned fighter jets” that could shoot Russian jets down “at any minute.” As an example, he pointed to 2015, when NATO member Turkey shot down a Russian warplane seconds after it violated the country’s airspace near the Syrian border. Moscow did not retaliate militarily. “Russia didn’t declare war on Turkey,” Brake said. “Wavering is much more dangerous than a forceful approach.”Freddie ClaytonFreddie Clayton is a freelance journalist based in London. Abigail Williams contributed.

October 21, 2025

Study reveals change in children with peanut allergies

September 25, 2025

Sept. 25, 2025, 11:38 AM EDTBy Rob WileData released Thursday reflects the resilience of the U.S. economy, even as concerns about the job market and inflation persist.U.S. economic growth, or the gross domestic product (GDP), reached 3.8% in the second quarter, according to a fresh revision of the data released Thursday by the Commerce Department. That was higher than the most recent estimate of 3.3% and the strongest reading since the third quarter of 2024. The revision largely reflected stronger growth in consumer spending, which was also revised upward, from 1.6% to 2.5%. Multiple surveys show the mood among consumers remains glum — but Thursday’s spending data, plus other releases from banks, signals they remain willing to maintain their pace of purchasing. Meanwhile, new and ongoing claims for unemployment assistance fell over the past week, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. The Federal Reserve said last week it expects the unemployment rate to climb from 4.3% to as much as 4.5% by the end of the year, but the latest data may allay some worries about further deterioration in the job market. “The mother lode of data just released suggest the economy is still doing just fine, despite the slowdown in employment growth,” wrote Alexandra Brown, North America economist for the market insight company Capital Economics, in a note to clients. The U.S. economy remains in a relatively precarious position. The latest GDP reading reflects the three months ending June 30, and the growth picture may have changed since then. A slowing labor market combined with President Donald Trump’s combination of aggressive tariffs and immigration enforcement has generated concerns about tepid growth. While consumer spending has remained resilient, there are growing warnings about a two tiered-economy in which lower- and middle-income people are squeezed as upper-income households continue to spend. Concerns about the job market spurred the Federal Reserve to take action this month, cutting interest rates in a bid to boost economic growth. There was some anticipation it would be the first of many.But Thursday’s positive economic data complicates the Fed’s situation.Following the morning’s data releases, investors dialed back the odds of additional cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. The Fed tends to cut when the economy is showing signs of slowing — and the new figures indicate there may be less of a need for lower interest rates to stimulate growth. “Thursday’s upward GDP revision for [the] second quarter confirmed that the economy grew at a healthy clip, even as tariff uncertainty reached fever pitch during the quarter,” Paul Stanley, chief investment officer of the Granite Bay Wealth Management financial group, said in a statement. “The U.S. economy is resilient and the strong GDP is another indication that we are not at risk of any kind of recession, even with slowing labor market growth.”But there are also concerns that growth is extremely uneven. A growing body of evidence suggests tech companies’ spending on artificial intelligence may almost single-handedly be propping up growth, especially as federal spending cuts and uncertainty over tariffs have clouded sentiment elsewhere. Commerce Department data show that in the first half of 2025, investment growth in equipment — a category that includes computers, electronics and power-supply parts — has been near records. “In the absence of tech-related spending, the US would be close to, or in, recession this year,” wrote George Saravelos, a head of research at the Deutsche Bank financial group. That’s not necessarily good news, he said: In order for tech to continue driving GDP growth, investments in AI, like building out data centers, needs to remain “parabolic.”“This is highly unlikely,” Saravelos said, given forecasts that such investment will likely peak this year.“Other sources of growth will have to take over,” he said. Rob WileRob Wile is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist covering breaking business stories for NBCNews.com.

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