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Holly-Ann Eastmon recalls flash flood that struck her Kentucky town

admin - Latest News - September 22, 2025
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Holly-Ann Eastmon’s house broke apart after a flash flood struck her Kentucky town in 2022. She and the town are still recovering.Aug. 22, 2025

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Oct. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Steve KopackFor people who closely follow the U.S. economy, the first Friday of every month is known as “jobs Friday,” when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the previous month’s employment report at precisely 8:30 a.m. ET. But on this jobs Friday, September’s employment data — a critical window into the health of the U.S. labor market — will not be released.Like many other federal offices, the BLS is temporarily closed because of the ongoing government shutdown. Until Congress approves its funding, the bureau’s more than 2,000 employees will remain furloughed, unable to release any reports.The data blackout comes at a perilous time for the U.S. economy. The unemployment rate has steadily ticked up this year, from a seasonally adjusted 4% in January to 4.3% in August. On Wednesday, new private-sector employment data released by payroll processing giant ADP showed a net loss of 32,000 jobs in September. Economists had expected a gain of around 45,000 jobs. The surprise loss of private-sector jobs only served to compound the value a Friday jobs report could have provided to policymakers and businesses as they try to make sense of the rapid shifts underway in the labor market.Federal Reserve officials are also considering next steps for interest rates.When the Fed cut borrowing costs last month, Chairman Jerome Powell warned that the overall economic picture was so unusual that central bankers were having a hard time forecasting what would come next. “Ordinarily, when the labor market is weak, inflation is low, and when the labor market is really strong, that’s when you’ve got to be careful about inflation,” Powell said at a mid-September news conference in Washington. Then, as now, the labor market was showing signs of weakness even as inflation crept up.As a result of those dueling forces, “there’s no risk-free path” ahead for the Fed, Powell said. “It’s quite a difficult situation for policymakers.”Fed cuts interest rates, citing ‘risks’ to jobs market01:44Now, the Fed could be forced to make another decision on rates this month without the benefit of key federal data.And it’s not just the jobs report that could go on hiatus.If the shutdown drags on past the middle of October, it could also delay the monthly BLS-produced Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index reports. BLS data on import prices is also expected that week.“Assuming the shutdown is over within a couple of weeks, there should still be plenty of time” for the Fed’s interest rate-setting committee to evaluate September’s jobs data before it meets again at the end of the month, analysts at JPMorgan Chase wrote Thursday.However, “if there is no employment report, then we expect them to focus on available indicators, including ADP, consumer confidence, jobless claims, and other private-sector measures of employment, job openings, and announced job cuts,” the JPMorgan analysts wrote.The Federal Reserve did not immediately reply to a request for comment Thursday about what impact delayed data might have on its upcoming deliberations.The September jobs report is most likely already in its “final draft” form, former BLS Commissioner William Beach wrote in a blog post this week.“Usually, BLS staff present the final draft of the jobs report to the commissioner on Wednesday preceding the Friday publication,” Beach wrote for Fiscal Lab on Capitol Hill, an independent research center that provides economic data to Congress. The final draft allows the BLS commissioner to brief major stakeholders on the day before each jobs Friday, including members of the Federal Reserve board and top White House officials. “The president and his economic team only see the data the day before publication,” Beach wrote. “So, if there is no publication on Friday,” the administration does not get a preview of it on Thursday.Even if the shutdown is resolved in the coming days, it’s still not certain when top officials and the public should expect to see September’s jobs report.In 2013, it took four days after federal agencies reopened following a 17-day government shutdown for BLS to release the previous month’s jobs data. The monthly Consumer Price Index data was not released for more than a week after the shutdown was over. That year, the Fed’s two-day October meeting began with officials still lacking the previous month’s key inflation data. It was only on the second day of the meeting that officials were finally able to review the inflation report, just hours before they announced their interest rate decision. The Federal Reserve building in Washington.Al Drago / Bloomberg via Getty ImagesFurther complicating matters for the Fed is that any shutdown creates additional uncertainty of its own in the economy, as thousands of federal workers’ paychecks are delayed and government services are severely restricted.Still, a government shutdown alone is unlikely to be enough to shift the Fed’s thinking on interest rates. Most economists believe that the current shutdown’s economic impact will be minimal and that any dent to growth will be made up in the coming months.Fed policymakers already face a formidable challenge: predicting how President Donald Trump’s unprecedented, and rapidly evolving, economic policies will affect the labor market and inflation.“With all this change, a dense fog has fallen,” Richmond, Virginia, Fed President Tom Barkin said in March in a lecture at Washington and Lee University in Lexington, Virginia. At the time, Trump had been in office for less than two months and had already set about reversing his predecessor’s economic legacy.“It’s not an everyday ‘forecasting is hard’ type of fog,” Barkin said. “It’s a ‘zero visibility, pull over and turn on your hazards’ type of fog.” Six months later, some of that fog appears to have lifted. But as Powell suggested, it is still difficult for the Fed to see what’s coming next. Steve KopackSteve Kopack is a senior reporter at NBC News covering business and the economy.
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Oct. 9, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Evan BushIt was a quiet summer for bird flu: Egg prices fell a bit, fewer sick poultry flocks were culled on farms, and officials took a breath. “It was lovely,” said Shauna Voss, the assistant director of the Minnesota Board of Animal Health. But it didn’t last. Bird flu is spreading again, now that wild water fowl — geese, ducks and cranes — have begun their seasonal migrations. As the birds travel, they mingle at lakes and ponds and share viruses.In poultry, bird flu cases are spiking earlier than expected. More than 4 million poultry birds have been culled in the last month, in states including Minnesota and Iowa, after members of their flock tested positive for the virus, called H5N1. The trend corresponds to a spike in infections detected among wild birds in northern states. Some state officials are bracing for a challenging autumn, which is when cases have typically spiked in past years. “Last week, we had our first confirmed positive,” Iowa Agriculture Secretary Mike Naig said. The case was on a turkey farm in Calhoun County. “The question for us then is how extensive will it be and what kind of fall will we have.” It’s too early to say what effect the outbreaks will have on egg prices, he added.“The only honest answer to that is we will have to see. I wish I could give you more than that,” Naig said.!function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}(); This is the fourth fall in which bird flu infections have risen, a sign the virus is becoming endemic in wild birds and could be a continual threat to poultry. “It’s not going away. It seems pretty embedded,” Voss said. The more the virus circulates, there is a risk that it will unlock a way to readily infect humans. If that becomes a problem, some experts fear that the Trump administration’s cuts to mRNA research could hamper scientists’ ability to rapidly develop a new vaccine. For now, though, the health risk to people remains low. As fall progresses, officials, wildlife experts and virologists are in a watch-and-wait mode.“It’s an interesting time,” said Declan Schroeder, an associate professor of virology at the University of Minnesota’s College of Veterinary Medicine. “Everyone is waiting with bated breath to see what’s going to happen.” Avian influenza was first detected in a U.S. commercial flock in February 2022, after circulating in wild birds before then. The virus is almost always deadly for poultry birds, and as of this summer, more than 175 million birds had been culled or killed. Two years ago, researchers were surprised to discover that bird flu had spread to dairy cows and was found in raw, unpasteurized milk, prompting a slew of changes to farm practices and milk testing. At least 70 people — mostly farmworkers with close contact to birds or cows — have been infected. One person died. !function(){“use strict”;window.addEventListener(“message”,function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[“datawrapper-height”]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(“iframe”);for(var t in a.data[“datawrapper-height”])for(var r,i=0;r=e[i];i++)if(r.contentWindow===a.source){var d=a.data[“datawrapper-height”][t]+”px”;r.style.height=d}}})}(); Wild birds tend to spread the disease to poultry farms in a few ways, scientists think: through direct contact, by contaminating feed or when workers bring contaminated materials into barns. That’s why migration season can be such a catalyst.“If you got one sick bird that moves over an area, infects some others, the math suggests it’s going to spread really fast,” said Michael Ward, a professor of natural resources and environmental sciences at the University of Illinois, who studies migration. Ward added that habitat limitations are pushing birds to congregate and share space, which makes viral spread more likely. In Illinois, wetland habitat has shrunk as the state deals with drought. “It’s a perfect combination for disease to pop up,” Ward said.In response to an inquiry about the rise in bird flu detections and how the federal government plans to deal with it, the U.S. Department of Agriculture pointed to a five-prong strategy it released in February, which included $100 million for research into new biosecurity measures and vaccine development for poultry. Countries like France are already vaccinating poultry birds, but the USDA said it continues to evaluate whether the U.S. should do so. The agency has not approved such a vaccine, and rolling one out would affect U.S. exports. “We really do believe that an effective vaccine strategy would be very helpful for the egg and turkey producers, but we understand that has to be carefully done to ensure there’s not an impact to other markets,” Naig, in Iowa, said. “USDA has put some focus on this and now we’re awaiting what that vaccine strategy could look like.” Scientists have long been concerned that the bird flu virus might eventually develop the ability to spread effectively between people. Even given the low risk to humans at the moment, Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, a professor of medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, who studies infectious diseases, advised people to take basic steps to prevent infection with H5N1 as well as the seasonal flu.“Get your flu shot. Don’t drink raw milk, don’t eat unpasteurized cheese, particularly when cases are circulating. Don’t let your cats feed outside when it’s migratory bird season,” Chin-Hong said.A scenario in which a person gets infected with both H5N1 and seasonal flu at the same time could be problematic because it would enable the bird flu virus to more easily rearrange its genetic code to suit humans. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention stopped holding coordination calls on H5N1 with health providers this spring — a change Chin-Hong laments. He hopes the agency will resume the calls, and he disagrees with the Trump administration’s termination of mRNA vaccine research funding. The biotech company Moderna was developing a bird flu vaccine that used the mRNA platform, but the Department of Health and Human Services canceled its grant.The CDC did not respond to a request for comment.Evan BushEvan Bush is a science reporter for NBC News.
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