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Kornacki: Cuomo needs this coalition of voters to win

admin - Latest News - November 4, 2025
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Steve Kornacki breaks down what fmr. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo would need to do on Election Day to beat state Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani in the NYC mayoral race.



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Nov. 4, 2025, 5:01 PM EST / Updated Nov. 4, 2025, 5:05 PM ESTBy Stephanie PerryIn the first major elections of President Donald Trump’s second term, voters in Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City are expressing broad dissatisfaction with Trump — and with both political parties, according to early results from the NBC News Exit Poll. Most voters in those elections are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country today, and they continue to express concern about financial issues and the economy.The governor’s races in New Jersey and Virginia, as well as a closely watched mayoral election in New York City and the redistricting ballot measure in California, highlight the first big Election Day of Trump’s second term. The results of Tuesday night’s elections will offer an early, though limited, window into how voters feel about his efforts to reshape Washington and the country, providing clues for candidates on both sides ahead of pivotal midterm elections next year.How is Trump handling his second term in office? The president’s overall job approval is underwater among voters casting ballots for governor in New Jersey and Virginia — two states that have voted against Trump each time he’s run for president. Majorities of voters who turned out for these 2025 contests disapprove of the way Trump is handling his job as president: 55% in New Jersey, 56% in Virginia. In the New York City mayoral race, just 29% of voters approve of Trump, according to the exit poll, as do 36% in California. There, the Proposition 50 ballot measure will decide whether the state will change its congressional map in response to Republican-led redistricting pushed by Trump in Texas and other states. How do voters see the Democratic and Republican Parties? Beyond views of the current president, neither the Republican nor Democratic Party are seen in particularly positive terms among voters who cast ballots in this years’ races.In Virginia, New Jersey, and California, more voters expressed unfavorable than favorable views of the Democratic Party. Views of the Republican Party are not quite as negative, but still, the party was not seen in favorable terms by a majority in any state surveyed. A grim national outlook Voters picking new governors in New Jersey and Virginia also expressed concern about the way things are going in the country these days.In New Jersey, 65% said they are angry or dissatisfied with the direction of the country and only 33% said they are satisfied or enthusiastic.In Virginia, 63% said they are angry or dissatisfied about the direction of the country, compared with just 35% who had a positive view of the country. Economic concerns and the cost of livingVoters in each of the states surveyed over the last several weeks said economic issues — or the cost of living — were the most important issues facing their state. In Virginia and California, the economy topped the list of voters’ concerns. And in New York City, 56% of voters said the cost of living was the most important issue facing the city. In New Jersey, taxes and the economy both ranked high on voters’ list of concerns. Financial worries came through as voters described their own family’s personal financial situations. In each state surveyed, most voters said they were either “holding steady” or actively falling behind financially. Far smaller shares in any state or locality said they were “getting ahead.” In several states, voters point to specific financial pains In New Jersey, a majority of voters said property taxes and electricity costs were “major” problems in their state. Overall, 60% said the state’s economy is not so good or poor. Only 38% said the state economy was good or excellent.In Virginia, where the government shutdown and federal government cuts affected many families this year, 6-in-10 said federal government cuts this year affected their family’s finances a lot (20%) or a little (39%).A large majority of New York City voters said the cost of living was the most important issue facing the city: 72% said the cost of housing was a major problem, and 65% said the city’s economy was not so good or poor. Trump on immigrationTrump said he won in 2024 because of the border and grocery prices. But voters today are divided on Trump’s actions on immigration.A slim majority of voters in New Jersey and Virginia said that the Trump administration’s actions on immigration enforcement have gone too far, while far smaller shares say they have been about right or not gone far enough. Still, many voters are divided on how their state’s government should cooperate with the federal government on immigration. In New Jersey, voters were more likely to say the next governor should not cooperate with Trump — though these views were divided by candidate preference. In New York City, 61% said the next mayor should not cooperate with Trump on immigration enforcement. In California, 59% said Gov. Gavin Newsom, the Democrat leading the Proposition 50 fight, should not cooperate with the Trump administration on immigration enforcement. The NBC News Exit Poll is conducted by SSRS, an independent research company, on behalf of ABC, The Associated Press, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and NBC. The networks together prepare the questionnaire. More information about SSRS can be obtained by visiting www.ssrs.com.The 2025 poll, conducted from October 22nd -November 4th, includes representative samples of registered voters in California (n=~4,000), New Jersey (n=~4,000), New York City (n=~3,700), and Virginia (n=~4,000). The Voter Poll combines data collected from verified registered voters online and by telephone, with data collected in-person from Election Day voters at 30 precincts per state/city, excluding California. Respondents can complete the poll in English or Spanish. The overall margin of sampling error for voters, accounting for design effects, is expected to be approximately plus or minus 2 percentage points in California, 2.1 percentage points in New Jersey, 2.2 percentage points in New York City, and 2.1 percentage points in Virginia.Stephanie PerryStephanie Perry is the manager of exit polling at NBC News.
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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleSept. 25, 2025, 1:59 PM EDTBy Erika EdwardsChristine Wear’s voice trembles talking about the upcoming flu season. “Anxieties are high,” she said. “We’re trying to navigate what life should look like without being in a bubble.”Wear’s son, 4-year-old Beckett, is still recovering from the flu he got way back in January. Within a week of becoming infected, he became extremely lethargic. He couldn’t move his head or his arms. He couldn’t eat or talk. Wear, 40, of River Forest, Illinois, knew what the problem was. It was the second time Beckett had developed an inflammatory brain disease caused by the flu: acute necrotizing encephalopathy, or ANE.This time, bouncing back to his energetic self has been slow. “It has taken longer for his brain to recover,” Wear said.Beckett Wear temporarily lost his ability to walk after two bouts of acute necrotizing encephalitis.Courtesy Christine WearCases of pediatric ANE and other flu-related encephalopathies are on the rise. During the 2024-25 flu season, 109 children were diagnosed with the rare complication, according to new data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The finding comes as the nation logged 280 pediatric flu deaths last year, the deadliest ever aside from the 2009-10 H1N1 pandemic, as well as falling rates of children vaccinated against influenza. “We don’t always know how to predict which kids are going to have the most severe forms of flu, which is why we recommend the vaccine for everyone,” said Dr. Buddy Creech, a pediatric infectious disease physician at Vanderbilt University Medical Center in Nashville, Tennessee. “It’s a misnomer to think that only sickly kids get complications from the flu.”ANE is rare — just a handful of cases each year — and has never been formally tracked. This year, however, doctors anecdotally noted an uptick in kids severely affected with brain inflammation after having the flu.“We don’t know in real numbers if this is an increase, but I will tell you, being on the ground, being a physician who cares for these patients, I was certainly struck that this was an increase,” said Dr. Molly Wilson-Murphy, a pediatric neurologist at Boston Children’s Hospital. She is also an author of the new study published by the CDC. Dangerous complications from the fluThe 109 children tallied in the research were all diagnosed with influenza-associated encephalopathy, or IAE. It occurs when the influenza virus attacks the child’s nervous system. Kids can have a spectrum of symptoms: confusion, difficulty walking, hallucinations, abnormal movements and seizures. Wilson-Murphy suspects there are at least seven forms of IAE.ANE, Beckett’s illness, is one of them. ANE accounted for about a third of the overall IAE cases in the report.Of the children with influenza-associated encephalopathy:74% were admitted to the intensive care unit54% were put on a ventilator55% were previously healthy19% died“Flu is dangerous for children, period,” said Dr. Keith Van Haren, a co-author of the study and a pediatric neurologist at Stanford Medicine in Palo Alto, California. “That is not a mischaracterization.” Childhood flu vaccine rates are fallingSeasonal flu shots are notoriously subpar when it comes to preventing flu infections, compared with more robust vaccines like the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine. But doctors say the shot’s benefit lies in its ability to reduce the chance the infection will lead to severe complications and death. “Our goal as parents and doctors is to keep kids healthy and to help protect kids who are at risk from getting sicker,” Van Haren said. “Vaccination against the flu is the purest, best, simplest way to do that.”Last year, the flu shot was found to be up to 78% effective in keeping kids and teens with the flu out of the hospital.According to the new report, 84% of kids with influenza-associated encephalopathy whose vaccination status was known weren’t vaccinated.And 90% of the 280 children who died last flu season hadn’t received their annual flu shot.“The best way to protect yourself and your family from influenza is for everyone to get vaccinated,” said Dr. Sean O’Leary, an infectious diseases expert with the American Academy of Pediatrics.Pediatricians generally recommend kids get their flu shots before the end of October. A peek at how the shot has been working so far in the Southern Hemisphere’s flu season shows the vaccine is cutting down on flu-related hospitalizations by half. But the percentage of kids getting their flu shots has been falling in recent years. According to the CDC, fewer than half of kids (49.2%) had their flu shot last year, down from 62.4% in the 2019-20 flu season. O’Leary said that reasons for the decline are complex. Increasing vaccine hesitancy is just one factor. “A lot of families are experiencing access to care issues,” he said. “And a lot of practices are experiencing significant staffing issues. They might not be able to have large flu clinics after hours or on Saturdays.”With rare exceptions, the CDC recommends everyone 6 months and older get a flu shot every year.Erika EdwardsErika Edwards is a health and medical news writer and reporter for NBC News and “TODAY.”
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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 2, 2025, 11:52 AM EDTBy Sahil Kapur and Ben KamisarWASHINGTON — The U.S. government is shut down, and Americans are more inclined to blame President Donald Trump and Republicans for it, according to four independent, national polls conducted just before or during the funding lapse.But there is fluidity in the political fight, as the surveys show a significant share of voters aren’t sure who to blame. The shutdown is only in its second day, as Republicans and Democrats sharpen their messages, and it’s not clear how long the impasse will last.‘I have no idea’ how long government shutdown will last, House Democrat says21:49A Washington Post poll conducted on Oct. 1, the first day of the shutdown, found that 47% of U.S. adults blame Trump and Republicans in Congress, while 30% blame Democrats and 23% said they’re not sure.The survey found that independents blamed Trump and Republicans over Democrats by a wide margin of 50% to 22%. And one-third of Republicans were either unsure who to blame (25%) or blamed their party (8%).A New York Times/Siena poll taken in late September found that blaming both sides equally for a shutdown was the most popular answer, chosen by 33% of registered voters. Another 26% would blame Trump and Republicans, while 19% would blame Democrats, and 21% said they hadn’t heard enough to say.A poll by Marist, PBS News and NPR in late found that 38% would blame Republicans, while 27% said they’d blame Democrats. Another 31% said they’d blame both parties equally and 5% said they’d blame neither or were unsure who was at fault.In a Morning Consult poll taken in late September, 45% of registered voters said they’d blame Republicans in Congress for a shutdown, while 32% said they’d blame Democrats. Another 16% had no opinion, while 7% chose “other.” Independents blamed Republicans over Democrats by a margin of 41% to 24%.We’d like to hear from you about how you’re experiencing the government shutdown, whether you’re a federal employee who can’t work right now or someone who is feeling the effects of shuttered services in your everyday life. Please contact us at tips@nbcuni.com or reach out to us here.The shutdown began at 12:01 a.m. on Oct. 1 after Congress and Trump failed to reach a deal to fund the government. Republicans control the White House and both chambers of Congress, but they need 60 votes in the Senate to pass a funding bill, and they only control 53 seats. That means they need Democratic votes on any measure to reopen the government.In exchange for their votes, Democrats have demanded an extension of expiring Affordable Care Act funds, a repeal of the Medicaid cuts and changes in Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” and assurances that Trump won’t unilaterally withhold money directed by Congress in a government funding law as his administration has done a handful of times in recent months.Republicans say they won’t grant any concessions to Democrats simply to keep the government open. They’re willing to negotiate on the expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies, which will cause health insurance premiums to skyrocket if they are not renewed — but only once the government is funded, Senate Republican Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said. Many GOP lawmakers want the subsidies to end entirely, however.Polling on the health care subsidies is sparse at the moment, but the Washington Post survey found that 71% of U.S. adults want the ACA subsidies to be extended, while 29% said they should expire on schedule at the end of this year.Both parties appear dug in on the shutdown. A clear majority of poll respondents who want to extend the subsidies say Congress should demand that extension, even if it forces the shutdown to drag on, while a clear majority of those who want the subsidies to expire also want their side to stick to that demand, even if it prolongs a shutdown.Sahil KapurSahil Kapur is a senior national political reporter for NBC News.Ben KamisarBen Kamisar is a national political reporter for NBC News
September 25, 2025
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