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October 29, 2025
Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 28, 2025, 5:10 PM EDTBy Courtney Kube, Carol E. Lee and Dan De LuceA recent U.S. intelligence assessment warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin is more determined than ever to carry on the war in Ukraine and prevail on the battlefield, according to a senior U.S. official and a senior congressional official.The analysis, which was communicated to members of Congress this month, indicated the agencies see no sign Russia is ready to compromise on Ukraine as President Donald Trump seeks to broker peace talks.The assessment is consistent with how U.S. and Western intelligence agencies have viewed the Russian regime’s stance since February 2022, when Putin ordered an unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, according to two other people with knowledge of the matter.But Putin is now believed to be more dug in than ever, according to the senior U.S. official and the senior congressional official.Facing steep Russian troop losses and economic setbacks at home, he is committed to securing Ukrainian land and expanding his country’s footprint to justify the human and financial toll, the intelligence assessment found, according to the officials. In a sign of Trump’s growing frustration, last week he called off a planned meeting with Putin in Budapest, Hungary, and for the first time since he returned to office in January he imposed punitive measures against Moscow, slapping sanctions on two major Russian oil companies. “I just felt it was time,” Trump told reporters, describing the new sanctions as “tremendous” and adding that he had “waited a long time” to implement them but hopes “they won’t be on for long.”“We hope that the war will be settled,” he said.The White House declined to comment on the recent intelligence assessment and pointed to Trump’s public comments on efforts to reach a peace deal.“As the president stated, these are tremendous sanctions against their two big oil companies which he hopes will help bring about the end of the war,” the official said in a statement. “He has been clear that it is time to stop the killing and make a deal to end the war. The United States will continue to advocate for a peaceful resolution to the war, and a permanent peace depends on Russia’s willingness to negotiate in good faith.”Trump has long vowed to broker an end to the war in Ukraine, and as a candidate he promised he would secure peace within 24 hours of his return to office. But his efforts to persuade Russia to come to the negotiating table and agree to a ceasefire have failed so far. Trump’s rhetoric has shifted in recent months, as he has expressed growing frustration and impatience with Putin, accusing him of failing to take action to back up positive statements made in their conversations.“Every time I speak with Vladimir, I have good conversations, and then they don’t go anywhere. They just don’t go anywhere,” Trump said last week.Trump even said publicly that he might provide long-range U.S-made Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine this month, though he later backed away from the idea after a phone conversation with Putin.Ukraine has appealed to Washington for longer-range missiles to strike at targets inside Russia, and European powers have endorsed its request.Ukrainian officials, European governments and Kyiv’s supporters in Congress have repeatedly urged Trump to exert pressure on Russia through arms shipments and sanctions to push Moscow to agree to a ceasefire and peace negotiations. The announcement of sanctions on Russian oil companies was the first time Trump has followed through on threats to introduce economic penalties against Moscow. The new sanctions on Russia, Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russia’s oil and gas facilities and European efforts to provide more weapons to Kyiv’s forces could alter the Kremlin’s calculations over time, according to European diplomats, former U.S. intelligence officials and experts.In August, the White House portrayed a summit in Alaska between Putin and Trump as a promising step toward possible peace negotiations. But the war has raged on, and Russia has stuck to the same hard-line demands that would effectively disarm Ukraine, ban it from joining the NATO alliance and block the deployment of any Western-led peacekeeping forces. Courtney KubeCourtney Kube is a correspondent covering national security and the military for the NBC News Investigative Unit.Carol E. LeeCarol E. Lee is the Washington managing editor.Dan De LuceDan De Luce is a reporter for the NBC News Investigative Unit. 
October 31, 2025
Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 31, 2025, 12:53 PM EDTBy Sahil Kapur, Ryan Nobles and Brennan LeachWASHINGTON — President Donald Trump is pushing Senate Republicans to abolish the 60-vote filibuster rule in order to reopen the shuttered government without Democratic votes.But in a rarity for the president, he’s hitting firm and immediate resistance from his own party.“It is now time for the Republicans to play their ‘TRUMP CARD,’ and go for what is called the Nuclear Option — Get rid of the Filibuster, and get rid of it, NOW!” he wrote in a pair of late-night social media posts Thursday. “Well, now WE are in power, and if we did what we should be doing, it would IMMEDIATELY end this ridiculous, Country destroying ‘SHUT DOWN.’”Senate Republican leaders have been outspoken in their support for the 60-vote rule to pass most bills. The new Majority Leader, John Thune, R-S.D., promised shortly after the 2024 election that the legislative filibuster would remain unchanged on his watch.“Leader Thune’s position on the importance of the legislative filibuster is unchanged,” Thune spokesman Ryan Wrasse said Friday.A spokesperson for Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso, R-Wyo., said: “Senator Barrasso’s support of the filibuster is unchanged.”Yet the conversation about the filibuster escalated on Capitol Hill even before Trump’s comments after Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio, appeared on Fox News days into the shutdown and called on his party to eliminate the filibuster.But various Republicans have voiced opposition to that push, including Moreno’s fellow Ohio senator.“That’s not a step I think we should take,” Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, told reporters.Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., who has said he would resign from the Senate on the same day if Republicans abolish the filibuster, said he doesn’t expect it to be nixed. He noted that Trump also called on the GOP to eliminate the 60-vote threshold during his first presidential term in order to pass his agenda.“We stood firm there,” Tillis said earlier this month. “I can’t imagine anybody changing now.”Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kansas, said he “would not be” in favor of weakening the legislative filibuster to pass the funding bill.”That’s a nonstarter,” he said.Sen. Markwayne Mullin, R-Okla., said he would “absolutely not” favor abolishing the filibuster.”If we want to do something very, extremely limited” to “avoid shutdowns in the future, I may consider that,” he said.” But to nuke, to go nuclear into the filibuster — we all know that the Senate goes back and forth, and it’s in our favor when we have the minority.”The Senate, under the control of both parties, has eliminated the 60-vote threshold to confirm executive branch personnel and federal judges; those require a simple majority of the Senate.The legislative filibuster has evolved over the years, but since 1975, it has required 60 votes to achieve “cloture” in the Senate and ensure passage of most bills over the minority’s objections. There are exceptions, such as the budget “reconciliation” process that Republicans used to pass Trump’s “big, beautiful bill.” GOP senators have expanded those exceptions this year, but they’ve largely been opposed to fully removing the 60-vote threshold.That’s because they worry about what a future Democratic-controlled Washington would be able to do without requiring Republican support for legislation.“The 60 vote threshold has protected this country, and frankly, that’s what I think this last election was largely about,” Thune told reporters on Oct. 10, positing that if Democrats had won, they would have sought to get rid of the filibuster, make D.C. and Puerto Rico states with representation in Congress and expand the Supreme Court. “You’d have abortion on demand, a whole bunch of things that were on that laundry list,” he said. “There’s always pressure on the filibuster,” the majority leader said. “But I can tell you that the filibuster through the years has been something that’s been a bulwark against a lot of really bad things happening to the country.”House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., said he understands why Senate Republicans want to preserve the filibuster.“It’s not my call. I don’t have a say in this. It’s a Senate chamber issue. We don’t have that in the House, as you know,” he told reporters on Friday. “But the filibuster has traditionally been viewed as a very important safeguard. If the shoe was on the other foot, I don’t think our team would like it.”Sen. John Fetterman, D-Pa., one of many Democrats who ran in 2024 on nixing the filibuster, said Republicans should go ahead and “carve it out” for government funding bills.”We ran on killing the filibuster, and now we love it,” he said. “I support it because it makes it more difficult to shut the government down in the future, and that’s where it’s entirely appropriate. And I don’t want to hear any Democrat clutching their pearls about the filibuster. We all ran on it.”Democrats have all but dared Republicans to kill the filibuster and fund the government on their own if they don’t want to negotiate to secure bipartisan support. On NBC’s Meet The Press NOW, Rep. Chris DeLuzio, D-Pa., said Republicans “should have” nuked the filibuster if they didn’t want to deal with Democrats on a bill.Republicans ‘should’ eliminate filibuster or work with Democrats on shutdown, House Democrat says08:33In his Thursday posts, Trump noted that Democrats tried in 2022 to smash the 60-vote threshold, in an attempt to pass a sweeping voting rights law. But they failed to secure the majority vote needed to change the rules in the Senate, and the effort fizzled.“If the Democrats ever came back into power, which would be made easier for them if the Republicans are not using the Great Strength and Policies made available to us by ending the Filibuster, the Democrats will exercise their rights, and it will be done in the first day they take office, regardless of whether or not we do it,” the president added.Two weeks after his proposal, NBC News asked Moreno if he had made progress convincing his GOP colleagues to nix the filibuster.“Not yet,” Moreno replied.Sahil KapurSahil Kapur is a senior national political reporter for NBC News.Ryan NoblesRyan Nobles is chief Capitol Hill correspondent for NBC News.Brennan LeachBrennan Leach is an associate producer for NBC News covering the Senate.
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