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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleNov. 11, 2025, 5:00 AM ESTBy Steve KornackiWith the government shutdown now poised to end, it’s clear Republicans are in worse shape politically now than when it started. The question is whether that will prove to be temporary — as has been the case with past funding showdowns — or if the political atmosphere has been reset in a way that will linger into next year’s midterm elections. As the six-week shutdown played out, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating ebbed to the lowest point of his second term, with a majority of voters pinning the blame on him and Republicans in Congress. Democrats opened up a wide lead in the generic congressional ballot — 8 points in our NBC News poll, a level last seen in the run-up to the “blue wave” in the 2018 midterms.And then there was last Tuesday, when Democrats posted an unexpected landslide in New Jersey, a state where both parties saw the gubernatorial contest as competitive and recent elections had suggested Republican momentum. Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill’s victory was so staggering that it lifted a host of down-ballot Democrats and gave the party its largest state Assembly majority in a half-century. The Democratic rout was even bigger in Virginia: The party’s deeply flawed candidate for attorney general, Jay Jones, coasted easily on the coattails of Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger.An unpopular president, a wide generic ballot gap and off-year election results like this are all early warning signals of a midterm debacle for Republicans. But they have been here before. And in two previous shutdowns, Republicans saw their public standing buckle only for it to recover in its aftermath.This was the case during President Barack Obama’s second term, when a dispute over funding for Obamacare precipitated a government shutdown that started on Oct. 1, 2013, and lasted for several weeks. Like now, the public sided squarely against the GOP. An NBC News poll at the time showed voters blamed congressional Republicans over Obama by a 22-point margin. Like now, Republicans suddenly found themselves 8 points behind on the generic ballot. And like now, there was apparent fallout in that year’s elections, with Democrat Terry McAuliffe narrowly defeating Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race.Cuccinelli had liabilities as a candidate, but 2013 stands as the so the shutdown drama of late 1995, a collision between the Republican Congress, led by Speaker Newt Gingrich, R-Ga., and President Bill Clinton. And the public’s verdict was clear: They blamed the GOP. The political legacy of that 1995 shutdown is complicated. Clinton’s standing did improve, while Gingrich’s fell to a level from which he never fully recovered. It also established a framework for Clinton’s 1996 re-election campaign, when he presented himself as a middle-of-the-road bulwark against the ideological fervor of congressional Republicans and Gingrich himself. Clinton ended up breezing to victory over Sen. Bob Dole of Kansas in one of the least suspenseful presidential campaigns of modern times. House Speaker Newt Gingrich, left, gestures during a budget meeting with President Bill Clinton and Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole in December 1995.Greg Gibson / AP fileBut critically, most of the political benefits that Clinton reaped didn’t extend to the rest of his party. During the shutdown, Democrats opened a sizable lead on the generic congressional ballot, but the gap narrowed again by early 1996. It fluctuated as the year progressed, but ultimately Republicans lost only four House seats — even as Clinton won the popular vote by 8 points. The 1996 election marked the first time since 1928 that a GOP House majority lasted more than a single term. With the current shutdown seemingly at its end, the hope for Republicans is that over the next month, polling will return to its pre-shutdown levels — meaning a bump in Trump’s approval rating and a tightening of the generic ballot.The GOP would still face some serious 2026 headwinds, with the economy remaining a top concern to voters and Trump receiving poor marks for his handling of it (not to mention the history of the president’s party struggling in midterms). Still, through a combination of the Democratic Party’s own image problem and the new congressional maps Republicans are drawing in some states, they would conceivably have a chance to hold their own.But that’s only if the shutdown effect proves to be temporary. If the political environment stays like this — or gets worse — Republicans could be staring at a wipeout.Steve KornackiSteve Kornacki is the chief data analyst for NBC News.

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Nov. 11, 2025, 6:31 AM ESTBy Peter GuoScientists in Australia have identified a new species of native bee with tiny, devil-like horns that have earned it a playfully hellish name – “lucifer.”The species, Megachile lucifer, was discovered by scholars surveying a critically endangered wildflower in Western Australia’s Goldfields in 2019, according to a study published Monday in the Journal of Hymenoptera Research.The highly distinctive, upward-pointing horns on the female bee’s face inspired its name, said Kit Prendergast, lead author of the study and an adjunct research fellow at Curtin University.“When writing up the new species description[,] I was watching the Netflix show Lucifer,” Prendergast said in a statement Tuesday. “The name just fit perfectly.” The species was discovered by scholars surveying a critically endangered wildflower.Kit S. Prendergast; Joshua W. CampbellA DNA test later showed that the species didn’t match any known bees in existing databases, making it the first new member of this group to be described in more than 20 years, researchers said.The horns, each measured at about 0.9 millimeters long, could be used to access flowers, compete for resources, and defend nests, researchers suggested, though their exact functions remain unclear. The species’ male bees lack the horns.The discovery highlighted the need to study native bees, Prendergast said, adding that the new species could be at risk from habitat disturbance and other threatening processes like climate change.“Without knowing which native bees exist and what plants they depend on, we risk losing both before we even realize they’re there,” she said.Australia has around 2,000 native bee species, more than 300 of which are yet to be scientifically named and described, according to CSIRO, an Australian national science agency.The country’s native bees are “understudied and data poor,” leading to a lack of knowledge on the conservation status of “almost all species,” Tobias Smith, a bee researcher at the University of Queensland, told NBC News in an email Tuesday.Australian authorities need “stronger policies” to protect native bees from habitat loss, inappropriate fire regimes, and increased risks from megafires, said Smith, who is not involved in the study.Smith said he encouraged Australians to “get outside and look for some native bees and appreciate them.”Peter GuoPeter Guo is an associate producer based in Hong Kong.

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Nov. 6, 2025, 7:42 PM EST / Updated Nov. 6, 2025, 10:59 PM ESTBy Frank Thorp VWASHINGTON — The Senate on Thursday voted down a measure requiring congressional approval for any military action by President Donald Trump against Venezuela.The bipartisan resolution failed in a 49-51 vote that required a simple majority to pass. Two Republicans — Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Rand Paul of Kentucky — joined all 47 Democrats voting in support of the measure.Hours after the vote, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced another strike on an alleged drug boat in the Caribbean. The administration has carried out at least 17 such strikes in the region, including the Eastern Pacific, killing at least 69 people.Trump last month indicated that he would not seek congressional approval for additional military strikes against alleged drug traffickers. Instead, he said, “We’re just gonna kill people that are bringing drugs into our country.”Sen. Todd Young, R-Ind., an outspoken critic of administrations of both parties conducting military strikes without congressional approval, said in a statement Thursday that his no vote was “not an endorsement of the Administration’s current course in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific.”“As a matter of policy, I am troubled by many aspects and assumptions of this operation and believe it is at odds with the majority of Americans who want the U.S. military less entangled in international conflicts,” Young said.Members of Congress last month voiced concern over the Trump administration not sharing information about the military strikes. The administration later held a briefing for Republicans but excluded Democrats, sparking criticism on both sides of the aisle. On Wednesday, some Senate Democrats were included in a classified briefing with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Hegseth.A similar resolution related to strikes in the Caribbean Sea failed in the Senate, 48-51, last month. Like Thursday’s vote, Murkowski and Paul were the only Republicans to support that measure.Frank Thorp VFrank Thorp V is a producer and off-air reporter covering Congress for NBC News, managing coverage of the Senate.Rob McLean contributed.

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