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Nov. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM ESTBy Bridget Bowman and Adam EdelmanThe candidates for governor in New Jersey and Virginia crisscrossed their states in the final weekend of the 2025 campaign season, ahead of the first big elections since President Donald Trump’s victory in 2024. The races will be the early tests for major questions facing both political parties after 2024, from how to navigate the high cost of living to how to appeal to increasingly swingy Latino voters, as well as which side is energized going into the 2026 midterms. Republicans face a familiar challenge of turning out Trump’s coalition when he is not on the ballot, while Democrats are looking for a boost after a demoralizing election last year. In Virginia, former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger has consistently led her Republican opponent, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, in polling and fundraising throughout the entire campaign. A more competitive race has formed in New Jersey, according to recent polling, where Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill is facing Republican Jack Ciattarelli, a former state legislator. Jack Ciattarelli and Mikie Sherrill.USA Today Network fileBoth Sherrill and Spanberger were elected to Congress in the party’s 2018 midterm blue wave during Trump’s first term, and they lived together while serving in the House. The former roommates are now looking to lead their party’s electoral pushback against Trump following his return to the White House. “In 2025, it really feels like the important fight is at the state level in these governor’s offices, because with the president having the presidency, the GOP having the Senate and the House, and even co-opting the Supreme Court, the last bastion feels like governors races and governors standing in the breach,” Sherrill told NBC News in a Friday interview. While Democrats have brought some high profile surrogates to their states, Republicans have largely campaigned on their own. Trump has not campaigned in person either state, despite endorsing Ciattarelli. (Trump has not endorsed Earle-Sears.)But the president is holding two telephone rallies Monday night for candidates in New Jersey and Virginia.Both Spanberger and Sherrill had some help from former President Barack Obama at rallies on Saturday. Obama appeared with Sherrill in Newark, the state’s largest city, amid some concerns about Black voter turnout. In Virginia, Obama rallied supporters in Norfolk and encouraged them to send a message to the rest of the country. “Lord knows we need that light. We need that inspiration.” Obama said at both rallies. “Because, let’s face it, our country and our politics are in a pretty dark place right now.”Obama told voters in both states they have the opportunity to “set a glorious example for this nation.” Other prominent Democrats — including potential future presidential contenders — hit the campaign trail in both states in the final days. In New Jersey, the state’s two Democratic senators, Cory Booker and Andy Kim, campaigned for Sherrill, along with Arizona Sen. Ruben Gallego and Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy. Their weekend events followed other top Democrats’ forays into the state, including former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin. Many of the same names crossed through Virginia as well. In Virginia, Spanberger continued her closing statewide bus tour — which had kicked off on Oct. 25 — making stops on Saturday in Norfolk, alongside Obama, and on Sunday in the Washington, D.C., suburbs. On Monday, she’s scheduled to hold a trio of final-day events in the region of her old Richmond-area congressional district.Abigail Spanberger on Capitol Hill in 2024.Mariam Zuhaib / AP fileHer closing message has centered on her campaign-long focus on economic and affordability issues, as well as a sharp rejection of Trump’s policies and the chaos she said they’ve created in Virginia’s economy.“With the political turmoil coming out of Washington right now, this election is an opportunity,” she said during her Norfolk speech.“In Virginia, we need a governor who will recognize that Virginians are struggling to afford the rising costs in health care, housing and energy,” she added.Polls in Virginia have consistently shown Spanberger leading. Early voting kicked off in the commonwealth more than six weeks ago, and as of Saturday, more than 1.43 million people had already voted — nearly 44% of total turnout in the 2021 governor’s race.While Republicans did not see the same quantity of high-profile surrogates on the trail in the final days, Earle-Sears had support from popular Gov. Glenn Youngkin.Earle-Sears held campaign events on Saturday in Abingdon, a heavily Republican area in southwest Virginia, and in Loudoun County. Youngkin, the term-limited Republican governor, appeared at those events, alongside the rest of the Republican ticket — John Reid, the lieutenant governor nominee, and Jason Miyares, the incumbent attorney general. The same lineup appeared at Earle-Sears campaign events on Sunday in Prince George and Hanover, near Richmond. Earle-Sears was slated to hold more events Monday in Roanoke and in Virginia Beach and Manassas, where Republican National Committee chair Joe Gruters was also scheduled to join. Winsome Earle-Sears in Richmond, Va., in 2022.Steve Helber / AP fileIn recent days, Earle-Sears has put a focus on attacking Spanberger over years-old violent texts from Democratic attorney general nominee Jay Jones, as well as efforts by legislative Democrats to redraw Virginia’s congressional maps.But over the weekend, Earle-Sears revisited a message that had been a focus earlier in her campaign: emphasizing the accomplishments of Youngkin’s administration and telling voters that electing her would mark a continuation of his record, including growing the private sector of the economy.“This election is about our future,” Earle-Sears said in Abingdon. “We’ve had four glorious years where we’ve been making jobs left and right … We’ve already had so many successes, but there’s more that can happen.”Ciattarelli also embarked on a bus tour to rally his supporters in New Jersey over the weekend. Asked after he cast his ballot on Friday if any big names would join him on the trail, he told reporters, “Jack Ciattarelli.” This is Ciattarelli’s third run for governor after losing the 2017 GOP primary and becoming the GOP nominee in 2021, when he lost a surprisingly close, 3-point race to Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy. Ciattarelli said Friday that this year feels different.“The issues I was talking about in ‘21 were percolating. Today, they’re at a complete boil. We’ve got an affordability crisis, a public safety crisis, a public education crisis, a housing crisis, including over-development,” Ciattarelli said. “There’s a lot less indifference this time around,” Ciattarelli later added. “Back in ‘21 I had too many people inside New Jersey, including Republicans, and people around the country who didn’t think I had a shot in hell. They now know differently because of our performance in 21.”Public polls have shown a competitive campaign in New Jersey, although the state of the race has varied depending on the survey. On Thursday alone, five independent polls came out showing Sherrill ranging from a 9-point advantage to a negligible 1-point edge.Both Ciattarelli and Sherrill have also made their closing pitches on the airwaves in ads highlighting the state’s high cost of living — part of more than $100 million in ads in the race, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact. Since the June primary, Democrats have spent nearly $64 million on ads through Election Day, while Republicans have spent more than $42 million. “I’ll serve you as governor to drive your costs down,” Sherrill says in her closing TV ad. “On day one, I’m declaring a state of emergency on utility costs to lower your family’s bills. And when I’m governor, no sales tax increases, period. And I’ll fight for your family just as hard as I fight for mine.” Ciattarelli used one of his closing spots to cast himself as the “change” candidate, tying Sherrill to Murphy, the two-term Democratic governor. “We need someone who’s honest with a real plan, someone who gets it,” Ciattarelli says in the ad. “As governor, I’ll fight every day for people who work hard and play by the rules because that’s what you deserve. Together, I know we can fix New Jersey. It’s time.”In Virginia, Earle-Sears’ closing ads have largely focused on attacking Spanberger, highlighting Jones’ texts and her positions on the rights of transgender people, as well as tying her to national Democrats like Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi.“She’s weak, she’s wrong, we can’t trust her,” the ad’s narrator says.Spanberger, for her part, has used her closing ad to revisit her personal story, talking about her record of public service, including as a CIA officer.Bridget BowmanBridget Bowman is a national political reporter for NBC News.Adam EdelmanAdam Edelman is a politics reporter for NBC News. Julie Tsirkin, Kyle Stewart, Gabriel Vasconcellos and Katherine Koretski contributed.

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The candidates for governor in New Jersey and Virginia crisscrossed their states in the final weekend of the 2025 campaign season, ahead of the first big elections since President Donald Trump’s victory in 2024.



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Nov. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM ESTBy Jane C. TimmPennsylvania voters on Tuesday will decide in an unusually contentious election whether three Democratic justices should remain on the state Supreme Court for another 10-year term, a vote that could result in a deadlocked bench for years if they are removed.One of those three justices, David Wecht, warned what such a scenario would mean for the critical battleground state.“It would be disastrous. It’s extremely hard to work with a shorthanded court,” Wecht told NBC News in an interview on Friday. “I have experienced the six-member court, and a six-member court resulted in a lot of deadlocks and a lot of stalemates and a lot of increased work for the remaining six. That was just when we were one seat down with the court. If the Court were to be three seats down, there would be a lot of 2-to-2 ties.”Wecht, along with Justices Christine Donohue and Kevin Dougherty, are the three members of Democrats’ 5-2 majority on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court who are up a retention election on Tuesday.Judicial retention elections, which happen after a decade on the bench in Pennsylvania, are yes-or-no votes that are typically sleepy downballot contests.Few Pennsylvania justices have lost their jobs in this way. But with Democrats’ majority at stake ahead of the 2026 and 2028 elections, this year’s retention vote has drawn outsize money and attention. If all three justices were to lose and the Republican-controlled Senate and Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro can’t agree on temporary appointments, Pennsylvania’s high court could be deadlocked 2-2 through the end of 2027.“You would have a four-member court for two full calendar years, because there’s no way, there’s no way that this Senate is going to confirm a single nominee that Gov. Shapiro sends them,” Wecht said.A deadlocked state Supreme Court court would defer to lower courts, and even if it did decide a case, it likely wouldn’t set new precedent for the state, according to Wecht, who said four members are required to set a precedent. Unanimous decisions are very rare on the state’s top court, which typically tackles difficult questions of law.“If you have a 3-1 result in Smith v. Jones — it applies to Smith and Jones. It governs the case between Smith and Jones, but it’s not a precedent for any other case,” he said. “Precedent is the whole reason for our court. We’re not just deciding Smith versus Jones, we’re deciding a question of law that applies for now and in the future throughout Pennsylvania for everybody.”The retention elections have drawn major ad spending and attention. Former President Barack Obama and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro have publicly supported the three Democratic justices. On Sunday night, President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social urging Pennsylvanians to “Vote ‘NO, NO, NO’ on Liberal Justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht.'””Attention Pennsylvania: On November 4th, you can bring back the Rule of Law, and stand up for the Constitution,” Trump wrote.One conservative group’s mailer, which Wecht has vocally criticized, claimed the “liberal Supreme Court gerrymandered our congressional districts to help Democrats win,” even though the court had ruled in 2018 that a GOP-drawn map was unconstitutional.Wecht said the reaction to that ruling has contributed to the divisiveness of this election.“When you have a small child and you take away from the small child a prize plaything or toy, that small child is going to wail and scream and cause a ruckus. That’s exactly what happened,” Wecht said. “I think has been the poison that is infected the approach of some of the same partisans and their descendants who are now assailing us now in what’s supposed to be a nonpartisan election.”Jane C. TimmJane C. Timm is a senior reporter for NBC News.
NEXT
Nov. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM ESTBy Sahil Kapur and Brennan LeachPORTLAND, Maine — In the last three weeks, Graham Platner has faced enough damaging revelations to potentially sink just about any candidate. The Democratic Senate hopeful has apologized for past online posts making offensive comments, covered up a tattoo on his chest that has a Nazi association and lost top staff.Yet Platner is still standing.The 41-year-old oyster farmer and combat veteran spoke to a packed crowd at the State Theatre here on Sunday, counted at 745 attendees by his campaign, about his vision for “building power.”“It is amusing for me to watch the campaign described in the media as collapsing or falling apart — when internally, we frankly have not felt this strong since the beginning,” Platner told NBC News after the event. “It hasn’t sunk my campaign. In fact it seems, in many ways, it’s strengthened us.”He said that’s because he has addressed his past head-on and not run from it. “I want to talk about my evolution as a human being,” he said. “A lot of Americans also want to have hope that you can change and that you can evolve, and that we can have a society that gives grace and forgiveness to people. Because if we can’t, if we think that people are just ossified into who they are right now, and can never be something different, then what’s the point?”The Maine Senate race is shaping up to be one of the key fights of the 2026 midterms, with Platner trying to take advantage of the restlessness in the Democratic Party. A progressive populist who has the support of Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Platner is running on a platform of universal health care, housing affordability and ending U.S. involvement in foreign wars.In a wide-ranging interview, Platner addressed the scandals that have engulfed his campaign and said he’s “very proud of who I am today” after the “arcs and valleys” of his life. He inveighed against “establishment politics,” dished on his tense relationship with national Democratic leaders, made the case that he’s more “electable” than Democratic Gov. Janet Mills and explained why he went from voting for Republican Sen. Susan Collins years ago to viewing her as an empty vessel today.Platner also said he isn’t lamenting his staff departures, which include his political director and finance director.“We find ourselves now in a significantly stronger position, team-wise,” he said. “While we lost some people, we’ve kept almost everybody, and people that have stayed are galvanized and committed.”“It is amusing for me to watch the campaign described in the media as collapsing or falling apart — when internally, we frankly have not felt this strong since the beginning,” Platner told NBC News after the event.Brennan Leach / NBC NewsA dozen rally attendees — including some who supported Collins in the past — said they don’t consider Platner’s past comments disqualifying. Some voters said it gave them pause and they’re undecided; others said they accept his explanations and plan to vote for him in the primary.“It gave me pause, but I read his responses and I’m still intrigued to hear more about him,” said Emily Bukowski-Thall, of Portland, Maine.Her husband, Michael Bukowski, added, “If you look at the controversies surrounding the current president, this is nothing.”Platner responded to the pitch from Mills and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., that the two-term governor is a battle-tested and safe option to unseat Collins.“I think my ‘lack of experience’ is a positive,” he said. “People don’t want establishment politicians. People don’t want to see the same playbook run over and over and over again — a playbook which, by the way, has failed to unseat Susan Collins time after time. I firmly believe that the real risk is running an establishment candidate that is not trying something new.”In response, Mills campaign spokesperson Scott Ogden said in a statement, “Governor Mills is the only Democrat in this race who has stood up to Donald Trump, who has won two statewide elections, and who has delivered real results for working Maine families — including expanding health care to more than 100,000 Maine people, fully funding education, guaranteeing free school meals, delivering free community college, protecting abortion rights, and fighting climate change.”While some attendees at Sunday’s rally said the 77-year-old Mills is too old for their taste, Platner said that isn’t his concern: “This is not about age. It is about how old your ideas are.”Platner said he has received no outreach from Schumer or Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., the chair of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, or from DSCC staff. “We have made it very clear that I’m very open to those discussions. But no, no one has reached out,” he said, while adding that he would welcome the support of the deep-pocketed DSCC in a general election. “We have been very clear that we are not trying to have a friction-filled relationship, though that has been rebuffed on multiple occasions… The ball is in their court.”NBC News reached out to the DSCC for comment.Platner said he has “voted for Susan Collins at least once, possibly twice” but “it was a long time ago” — as the 72-year-old incumbent closes in on 30 years in the Senate.“I also believed back then that she was a moderate. As time has gone by, I don’t believe that. I think that’s a charade, and it’s worn thin,” he said. “I see Collins as, frankly, just another self-interested, establishment politician who uses this kind of myth of their moderation to stay in power, but doesn’t really do anything with their power. She’s the chair of the Appropriations Committee. I was told for years that when she got the gavel, there was going to be a boon of riches for the state of Maine. That is not materializing.”Graham Platner’s campaign told NBC News that 745 people were in attendance Sunday night.Brennan Leach / NBC NewsCollins spokesperson Blake Kernen noted that she has been ranked multiple times by the Lugar Center and Georgetown’s McCourt School of Public Policy as the most bipartisan U.S. senator. In addition, Collins’ Senate website highlights that she has secured more than $1 billion in congressionally directed spending for projects in Maine over the last three fiscal years.Elizabeth Lardie Thompson, an attendee of the rally from Bath, Maine, said she felt “very betrayed” by Collins after voting for her. She pointed to Collins’ support of conservative Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh and “not listening” to her constituents on health care. “I think she’s beholden to her party much more than she’s beholden to her state,” Thompson said. “I really don’t care; red, blue, whatever, but I do have a problem with how Collins has handled herself recently.”Cathay Getchell from Scarborough, Maine, also previously voted for Collins, but she said that she is concerned about the senator’s age and alignment with the “establishment” of the Republican Party. “She’s been there too long and we need a change,” Getchell said outside of the rally. Collins has picked her moments to break with the GOP, like in opposing President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” to extend tax breaks and cut Medicaid spending. But she also gives the GOP a valuable vote to ensure the Senate remains controlled by Trump’s allies. As she seeks another six-year term in this blue-leaning state, Collins is expected to run another local campaign and tout the money she has brought home to Maine.“Her primary role at this point is to function as cover for the Republicans to maintain a majority of the Senate,” Platner said. “I think that her votes on Brett Kavanaugh and her votes on RFK Jr. show that she is not interested in actually holding up the moderate side of the moderate bargain, and that we deserve better.”A few weeks ago Collins slammed Platner’s since-deleted Reddit posts from 2020 and 2021 after they were reported by CNN, calling them “terrible” and “really offensive.”“I was appalled when I read those comments,” she told Maine reporters. “First of all, as someone who comes from rural Maine, for him to have described white people living in rural Maine as racist and stupid. Just the opposite is the case.”Asked to respond, Platner said he “did not denigrate white, rural older voters.”“I did get in a fight with somebody and say that some rural white voters were stupid and racist,” he said, adding that anybody who reads those posts will see that he defends them more than he criticizes them. “I myself am a rural white voter in eastern Maine. These are my neighbors and my friends. I actually rise to their defense often and continue to do so.”“I don’t want to be flippant about it, but I was getting in arguments on the Internet … at a part in my life when I was looking for interaction and engagement, at a time where I was feeling quite isolated and alone and very disillusioned at that point,” he added. “I do not hold those feelings.”In one of his posts, Platner wrote, “I got older and became a communist.” He said he has never considered himself to be a communist and that the comment was merely “Internet shitposting — and also … if you read it’s very clear that I’m joking.”“I believe in Medicare for all. I believe in expanding the rights of workers to organize. I believe in taxing the ultra-rich. I believe in a fairer economic system,” he said. “I also know that because I believe in those things, people will refer to me as that no matter what… That’s the joke.”Sahil KapurSahil Kapur is a senior national political reporter for NBC News.Brennan LeachBrennan Leach is an associate producer for NBC News covering the Senate.
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October 17, 2025
Oct. 17, 2025, 2:50 PM EDTBy Erika EdwardsSouth Carolina’s measles outbreak has grown to 15 cases, state health officials reported Friday, a small increase from a few days ago. The new cases are among those who’d been exposed to the virus at school, but developed symptoms in quarantine. It’s not known if they’re adults or children, but 139 students are still currently in quarantine in the state.”We are fortunate that those we have identified as being exposed to measles are complying with our guidance to quarantine for the period that they could not expose others,” Dr. Linda Bell, epidemiologist for South Carolina, said in a statement to NBC News. Those who aren’t vaccinated against measles are recommended to stay home, away from others for a 21-day quarantine. That’s how long it can take to develop measles symptoms — high fever, red eyes and a rash — after being exposed.”We recognize that quarantining is challenging for families and communities, and we continue to strongly encourage getting vaccinated, which would make quarantining unnecessary due to the MMR vaccine’s proven effectiveness for decades,” Bell said, referring to the measles-mumps-rubella shot.As measles keeps popping up in some pockets of the United States, the possibility of being exposed to the highly contagious virus continues. At least 1,596 measles cases have been confirmed in 2025, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but it’s unclear how many people have been asked to quarantine. In Ohio, where five cases in the central part of the state have been reported within the last 2½ weeks, quarantine for 122 people was expected to end Friday. A 1-year-old had to be hospitalized for several days after developing pneumonia. The quarantine disruptions are prompting some pushback in the affected communities. “For many in our community, they’re frustrated, like, ‘Why don’t you just get your kid vaccinated?’” Dr. Mysheika Roberts, health commissioner for Columbus, Ohio, said in an interview. Measles exposures, including one at an early childhood learning center late last month, triggered the 21-day quarantine, she said.“When you make a decision not to vaccinate your child or to delay the vaccination, you’re not just impacting your child and your household. You can be impacting that entire community,” Roberts said. “It’s a ripple effect that I don’t think the average individual who makes this decision understands.”In the Minneapolis-St. Paul area, 118 kids are now back in school after they were exposed to an outbreak of 20 measles cases. Their quarantine ended Wednesday, according to a spokesman for the Minnesota Health Department. Still, public health officials are bracing for future outbreaks. “We actually anticipate that more cases may occur,” Bell said during a media briefing Thursday. “The measles virus won’t be contained within schools, within school districts or by county lines.”“My concern is that this is going to keep happening, that this is going to be our new normal,” Roberts said.Children who have been given the MMR vaccine don’t have to quarantine if exposed. Two doses, given around age 1 and again around age 5, are 97% effective in preventing measles infections, according to the CDC. Erika EdwardsErika Edwards is a health and medical news writer and reporter for NBC News and “TODAY.”
November 5, 2025
Nov. 5, 2025, 1:25 AM ESTBy Matt Dixon, Henry J. Gomez, Jonathan Allen and Garrett HaakeNo one thought Tuesday was going to be Donald Trump’s election night, but there were even fewer silver linings than many Republicans had hoped. Democrats attacked Trump’s agenda to help score victories in Virginia, where former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger quickly defeated Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears. They also prevailed in the attorney general’s race — where their candidate had been wrapped up in a texting controversy — and made double-digit gains in the state Legislature.Democrats won in New Jersey, where Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill beat Republican Jack Ciattarelli in a race for governor considered the best Tuesday night upset opportunity for the GOP. Democrats also won redistricting efforts in California and got their preferred candidate in the New York mayor’s race. Democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani, a favorite of the left and boogeyman of the political right, beat Trump-endorsed former Democratic New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo.And Democrats also scored much needed victories in nearly every major state-level contest, a helpful night as they try to build on a data-based narrative that Trump and Republicans have tanked the nation’s economy and gone too far right ahead of the 2026 midterms.Off-year elections are often examined for clues about larger trends that will be at play in the midterms. And Tuesday was the beginning of the Republican Party’s future without Trump on the ballot, leaving Democrats riding high. “At long last, it’s a fantastic night to be a Democrat. The wins everywhere were big, deep, and meaningful,” said Matt Bennett, a co-founder of the center-left think tank Third Way.’Turn the volume up’: Mamdani challenges Trump during his victory speech01:15The counterpunch for Republicans is the fact that off-year elections, those held in odd years not during traditional general elections, get less attention and are often poor measures for the overall mood of the electorate. That’s amplified by the fact that Democrat’s biggest wins, the governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey, were in states that generally lean Democratic and Trump lost.“Anyone who is telling you they know exactly what will happen based off tonight is lying,” veteran Republican strategist Matt Gorman said. But for both political parties, Tuesday night will remain a predictable Rorschach Test: You see what you want to see. Democrats can take away from the night results that they won. Their preferred candidates in significant races secured success. Republicans, meanwhile, can brush aside the elections as aberrations and point to the fact that even though they may have lost the short-term battle, they won the war. The win by Mamdani offers Republicans a messaging victory as they will now make Democratic candidates in key House and Senate seats nationally answer for his policy positions considered outside of the mainstream. “If I am a Republican in New York, I did not want him to win because he will be a horrific mayor,” said Jason Thielman, a Republican strategist and former executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. “But if you’re like me and your job is to win races, it’s a no-lose scenario.”Republicans were quick to distance the president from the results. Indeed, there were indications that Trump was unhappy with the quality of some of the party’s candidates and did little to get heavily involved in the races, which were in blue-leaning states. “We did what we needed to do,” said a Trump adviser, who, like others, was granted anonymity to speak candidly. “We got in late, but understood the dynamics. It was a lose-lose for Republicans if he became a main driver of the election cycle.”Trump said part of the reasons Republicans lost was because he wasn’t on the ballot, and that there was a government shutdown — which, he seemed to indicate, is hurting his own party the most.“‘TRUMP WASN’T ON THE BALLOT, AND SHUTDOWN, WERE THE TWO REASONS THAT REPUBLICANS LOST ELECTIONS TONIGHT,’ according to Pollsters,” he wrote.Some voters say Ciattarelli’s links to Trump worked against him in the race for governor02:01A plurality of voters in the races for governor in New Jersey and Virginia, and a majority of voters in the New York mayoral contest, said Trump was not a factor in their decision, according to the NBC News Exit Poll. But among those who said their choice was motivated by the president, more cast their vote to oppose Trump rather than did to support him.Most voters in those elections, as well as in California, also are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country, and they continue to express concern about financial issues and the economy, according to the exit poll.In New Jersey, for example, Sherrill won 60% of voters who ranked the economy as one of the most important issues. And in Virginia, Spanberger won over voters who expressed concerns about their personal financial wellbeing — one of the most important issues in that race. “Hopefully some folks get the clue that we need to be talking about and doing something about the economy,” said one Republican strategist who has worked on presidential and congressional campaigns.“I’m hearing the president is getting it, the outstanding question is if his team does,” this person added. “I just know he’s asking a lot of questions, the right ones, as to why more wasn’t done and why adjustments haven’t been made.”Democrats quickly heralded the results as a harbinger for the 2026 midterms.“My fellow Virginians, tonight we sent a message, a message to every corner of the commonwealth — a message to our neighbors and our fellow Americans across the country,” Spanberger said in her victory speech. “We sent a message to the whole world that in 2025, Virginia chose pragmatism over partisanship. We chose our commonwealth over chaos. You all chose leadership that will focus relentlessly on what matters most: lowering costs, keeping our communities safe and strengthening our economy for every Virginian.”Early in the night, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., called it a “rout for Democrats across the country” that foreshadows his party’s takeover next year.“What we said from the very beginning of this year is that we need to relentlessly focus on driving down the high cost of living and fixing the broken health care system that Donald Trump and Republicans are making worse by the day,” Jeffries said in an interview with NBC News. “As long as we stay on these kitchen table pocketbook issues — while, of course, addressing the extremism that Donald Trump and Republicans continue to unleash on the American people — what we’re seeing tonight, is going to be replicated a year from now when Democrats take back control of the House of Representatives,” Jeffries added.NBC News’ Steve Kornacki breaks down Virginia election results01:36Rep. Brendan Boyle, D-Pa., told NBC News that any Republican in a district Trump won by single digits is “highly vulnerable.”“After tonight’s results any House Republican in even a somewhat competitive district should be petrified of next year’s congressional elections,” Boyle said.Others, however, were more cautious about reading into the broader implications for off-year elections.Michael Ceraso, a Democratic strategist, said the results are a small sample size and that the party shouldn’t get too comfortable.“There is no clear ideological path for this party and this is a huge challenge for us,” Ceraso said. “These elections tonight are more about who we are than about President Trump. And, Trump is like a bad relationship. When it’s all you know, you stick with it. I don’t trust voters want to break up with him yet. I trust they want to complain about him. But they may still believe he’ll come through for them.”Trump kept himself mostly scarce during campaigns. He endorsed Ciattarelli in New Jersey, but not Earle-Sears in Virginia. During a Monday night tele-rally for Virginia candidates, he never mentioned Earle-Sears. Those among Trump’s inner circle expressed no regrets Tuesday about his arm’s length — or further — approach. “The demographics on New Jersey are what they are,” said a top outside Trump adviser, who noted that the president’s political machine spent more than $1 million on Ciattarelli’s behalf. Democrats, this person added, “have a larger pool of voters to draw from.”Another person familiar with the White House’s strategy said Trump “endorsed to give [Ciattarelli] a shot, because he got close last time,” but acknowledged that Trump “did not go all-in.”“Don’t try to fix what you can’t,” this person added. “Play for the team but be realistic and ruthless when it comes to resource deployment. Just like the [2024 presidential] campaign.” As for Earle-Sears, the outside ally was more blunt, saying she was a “horrible candidate.” Trump had spent months warning about Mamdani, but he endorsed Cuomo’s independent bid only on the eve of Election Day, arguing that a vote for Republican Curtis Sliwa was a “vote for Mamdani.” A person close to the White House described Trump’s last-minute nod toward Cuomo as more of a Hail Mary pass in a game already lost.“That race was gone three weeks ago,” this person said. “He knew it.”A former Trump campaign official offered a silver lining — that Trump and the Republicans could now make Mamdani a millstone for Democrats in next year’s elections.“Too little, too late,” this person said of the Cuomo endorsement. “But I’d bet [Trump] wants his archrival lined up for the midterms.”Matt DixonMatt Dixon is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News, based in Florida.Henry J. GomezHenry J. Gomez is a senior national political reporter for NBC NewsJonathan AllenJonathan Allen is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News. Garrett HaakeGarrett Haake is NBC News’ senior White House correspondent.Yamiche Alcindor, Stephanie Perry and Natasha Korecki contributed.
October 29, 2025
Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 29, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Rob Wile and Steve KopackInvestors are nearly certain that the Federal Reserve will announce a quarter-point cut to its benchmark interest rate Wednesday afternoon. What happens next is anyone’s guess.Typically, in times of a labor market slowdown the Fed lowers rates to spur economic activity. During times of rising inflation, the Fed often hikes rates to put a lid on rising prices. With data simultaneously showing a weakening employment picture and a stubborn price growth, the Fed faces a dilemma as it determines where to set the rate that helps determine how much consumers and businesses pay to borrow money. “There is no risk-free path for policy as we navigate the tension between our employment and inflation goals,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this month. He made similar remarks when the Fed cut rates for the first time this year, in September. Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the annual inflation rate for consumer prices had climbed from 2.9% to 3% in September — well above the Fed’s 2% target. The Fed’s view of the economy remains impaired by a lack of other data, which is paused due to the government shutdown. One of those measures, the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The August PCE report, published prior to the shutdown, also showed a reading north of the 2% goal. Many economists attribute a significant portion of ongoing price pressures to President Donald Trump’s tariffs.“The tariffs are the biggest tax increase since the late 1960s,” said Luke Tilley, chief economist at Wilmington Trust financial group.Meanwhile, jobs data suggests the U.S. is experiencing one of the weakest labor markets of the 21st century. The unemployment rate, at 4.3% as of August, is relatively low on a historical basis. But it is taking those without jobs an average of nearly six months to land a new position, as hiring rates have collapsed to levels last seen in the years following the 2008 global financial crisis. The government shutdown, now on the verge of its fourth week, has complicated matters by preventing the Bureau of Labor Statistics from releasing more current economic data. Without fresh numbers, “the Fed’s task is further complicated,” BNP Paribas economists wrote in a note on Tuesday. There are few private-sector sources of data and none can fully replicate the official government data. For instance, payroll processor ADP released its employment survey, which pointed to a significant decline in private employment in August and September. But that data only covers about 20% of the private labor force and does not count federal, state or local government employment. Part of the problem is that economic growth appears to be powering ahead thanks in great part to investments in artificial intelligence. Estimates of gross domestic product, the standard measure of economic growth, have soared to nearly 4%. Major stock market indexes, meanwhile, continue to set new records — also largely as a result of AI investments, fueling concerns about a bubble. The mere expectation that the Fed will further lower interest rates has also historically led to support for stock prices.“Something’s gotta give,” Fed governor Christopher Waller said on Oct. 16. Waller, a Trump nominee who is a finalist to succeed Powell as chair, has a permanent vote on the Fed’s rate-setting committee. “Either economic growth softens to match a soft labor market, or the labor market rebounds to match stronger economic growth,” he added. But even Waller, who in the summer called on the Fed to lower rates as soon as possible, urged caution: “We need to move with care when adjusting the policy rate to ensure we don’t make a mistake that will be costly to correct.” Other analysts believe that the tension between elevated inflation and weakening labor data is easing — though for reasons that do not bode well for the broader economy. In a note published Monday, Neil Dutta, head of economics at Renaissance Macro research group, said that as jobs growth continues to falter, price pressures will, too, as households grow more cautious about spending.“Labor market slack continues to build and there is reason to expect inflation to cool as a result,” Dutta wrote. The Fed is scheduled to make its next interest rate decision Dec. 10.Rob WileRob Wile is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist covering breaking business stories for NBCNews.com.Steve KopackSteve Kopack is a senior reporter at NBC News covering business and the economy.
November 5, 2025
Zohran Mamdami: 'you have dared to reach for something greater'
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