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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 22, 2025, 10:00 AM EDTBy Evan BushThe first half of this year was the costliest ever recorded for weather and climate disasters in the United States, according to an analysis published Wednesday by the nonprofit organization Climate Central.It is information that the public might never have learned: This spring, the Trump administration cut the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration program that had tracked weather events that caused at least $1 billion in damage. The researcher who led that work, Adam Smith, left NOAA over the decision. Climate Central, a research group focused on the effects of climate change, hired Smith to redevelop the database, which includes records back to 1980. According to the organization’s new analysis, 14 weather events exceeded $1 billion in damages in the first six months of 2025. The January wildfires in Los Angeles were, by far, the most expensive natural disaster so far this year — they caused more than $61 billion in damage. That also makes them the most expensive wildfire event on record.Suspect arrested in connection with deadly Palisades Fire02:09The findings show how the costs of weather and climate disasters continue to escalate as extreme weather grows more frequent and intense, and as populations spread into areas prone to costly destruction from wildfires and flooding. The report itself is also an example of the way nonprofit groups are increasingly taking over federal projects that once tracked and quantified the effects of climate change as the Trump administration makes cuts to climate science. President Donald Trump has called climate change a “con job.” His administration has cut funding for clean energy projects and is trying to remove the Environmental Protection Agency’s ability to regulate the greenhouse gas pollution that is causing global warming. Jennifer Brady, a senior data analyst and research manager at Climate Central who worked on the project, said the shuttering of NOAA’s billion-dollar disasters database upset staff at the nonprofit, who decided to take matters into their own hands. “This has always been one of our favorite datasets. It’s told so many different stories. It tells the climate change story. It tells the story of where people are living, how they’re living at risk,” Brady said. “We’re happy to bring it back.”Kim Doster, a NOAA spokesperson, said the agency “appreciates that the Billion Dollar Disaster Product has found a funding mechanism other than the taxpayer dime.”“NOAA will continue to refocus its resources on products that adhere to the President’s Executive Order restoring gold standard science, prioritizing sound, unbiased research,” Doster said in an email. The database was a politically polarizing project. House Republicans complained to NOAA’s administrator in 2024 about the program, voicing concerns about what they described as “deceptive data.” Last month, Senate Democrats introduced legislation that would require NOAA to publish the dataset and update it twice a year, saying that lawmakers used the reports to inform disaster funding decisions. But the bill remains in committee and stands little chance of passing in the Republican-controlled Senate.Last month, a Trump administration official told NBC News that NOAA had ended the database project because of uncertainties in how it estimated the costs of disasters. The official said that the project cost about $300,000 annually, that it required substantial staff hours and that the data “serves no decisional purpose and remains purely informational at best.”“This data is often used to advance the narrative that climate change is making disasters more frequent, more extreme, and more costly, without taking into account other factors such as increased development on flood plains or other weather-impacted spots or the cyclical nature of the climate in various regions,” the official said at the time.Brady, however, said the database has always acknowledged changes in population and climate variability as important factors in the cost of disasters. Climate Central’s work uses the same methodology and data sources that NOAA’s database did, she said. Those sources include National Flood Insurance Program claims, NOAA storm events data and private property insurance data, among others. The analysis captures the “direct costs” of disasters, such as damage to buildings, infrastructure and crops. It doesn’t factor other considerations, including loss of life, health-related costs of disasters or the economic losses to “natural capital” such as forests or wetlands. The data is adjusted to account for inflation. The new analysis of the first half of 2025 indicates that this year is on pace to be one of the costliest on record, even though no hurricanes have made landfall in the continental U.S.Last year, NOAA counted 27 billion-dollar disasters, with costs that totaled about $182.7 billion. That was the second highest number of billion-dollar disasters in the report’s history, after 2023. Climate Central is not the only group stepping in to re-create work the federal government used to do as the Trump administration makes cuts to climate science.A group of staffers laid off from NOAA has launched climate.us, a nonprofit successor to climate.gov, a federal website that once provided data and analysis to explain climate issues to the broader public. The site went dark this summer. Rebecca Lindsey, who edited climate.gov before she was laid off in February, said she and the other NOAA employees who co-founded the nonprofit have raised about $160,000. They plan to host the climate.gov archives on the new site and start publishing new articles about climate change in the next few weeks. “We’re rescuing this information and making sure when people need answers about what’s happening with the climate, they’ll be able to find them,” Lindsey said.The American Geophysical Union and American Meteorological Society also announced that they plan to publish a special collection of research focused on climate change, after the Trump administration told scientists volunteering to work on the National Climate Assessment — a comprehensive synthesis of research about climate change and its effects in the U.S. — that they were no longer needed. The administration laid off staffers in the U.S. Global Change Research Program, which organized the National Climate Assessment and coordinated climate research programs across different federal agencies. Walter Robinson, publications commissioner for the American Meteorological Society, said the National Climate Assessment had been “effectively canceled” by the administration’s decisions, which he viewed as an “abrogation” of the federal government’s responsibility. The new collection can’t replace the assessment, he added, but it aims to organize the latest science on the effects of climate change in the U.S. in one place. The research will be released across several scientific journals on a rolling basis. “People are stepping in,” Robinson said of his group’s efforts. “As scientists, we do what we can.” Evan BushEvan Bush is a science reporter for NBC News.

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The first half of 2025 was the most costly ever recorded for weather disasters, according to a new report. NOAA used to track this data, but the Trump administration cut the program.



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Nov. 17, 2025, 2:19 PM ESTBy Rob WileTrump administration officials are racing to reframe the president’s tariff rollbacks, as critics say the White House is capitulating on its signature economic policy.Late Friday, the White House announced the president had signed an executive order exempting more than 200 food products, including bananas, beef and coffee, from the so-called reciprocal tariffs he has imposed on U.S. trading partners. The move comes as the trade duties have begun to face economic, legal and political resistance that cast doubt on their efficacy. Some two-thirds of voters who helped sweep Democrats into power in a host of races earlier this month said President Donald Trump hasn’t lived up to his promises to curb inflation and improve the economy, according to NBC News polling. Meanwhile, the Supreme Court could issue an opinion in the coming months striking down the central argument Trump has made as to why he has the power to apply seemingly arbitrary tariff rates on dozens of countries. Grocery prices set to fall as Trump repeals some tariffs02:26White House officials are insisting the rollbacks do not amount to a retreat from the president’s staunch defense of tariffs as an economic driver. “This is nothing new,” National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Monday in response to a question of whether the reversals represent an acknowledgement that the policies have contributed to rising costs. Hassett cited previous moves by the administration to exempt certain products from duties following trade-framework agreements. One day earlier, Hassett told ABC News’ “This Week” that price increases for some goods weren’t being solely caused by tariffs — but acknowledged that prices could start coming down as imports into the U.S. climb. He also sought to blame former President Joe Biden, whose administration oversaw a post-pandemic inflation surge.“We understand that people still feel the pain of the high prices, but we’re closing the gap fast,” Hassett said. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent likewise sought to cast blame for rising beef prices backward.”The beef market is a very specialized market,” Bessent began. “It goes in long cycles. And this is the perfect storm, again, something we inherited.”In addition to Friday’s broad rollback of food-related tariffs, Trump also announced Friday that he was significantly reducing tariffs on goods from Switzerland, which had faced some of the highest duties yet announced during Trump’s second term.A day earlier, the White House said many food products from four Central and South American countries would be exempted from levies after they agreed to trade frameworks with the U.S.The U.S. economy continues to contend with stubborn inflation — especially for many everyday grocery items. Orange juice prices have increased approximately 29% year on year, while beef costs are up 13.5%, according to the latest NBC News grocery price tracker data.While some of the factors influencing the cost increases are not directly tied to tariffs, economists have estimated that consumers have been shouldering more than 50% of the overall price increases seen from Trump’s import duties.Businesses and analysts alike continue to sound the alarm on the impact of tariffs, saying they are compounding the stubborn inflation that has taken root since the pandemic and holding back investment decisions. The U.S. manufacturing sector — consisting of industries the administration had hoped would benefit most directly from the trade duties — has been particularly hard-hit, with many indicators suggesting it is in recession. Between February and August, manufacturing employment fell by some 41,000 jobs. Small businesses, whose owners tend to lean more conservative, have also seen an outsize impact from tariffs. Key elements of Trump’s tariff regime now also face legal jeopardy, however, as the Supreme Court weighs whether Trump illegally bypassed Congress when he imposed reciprocal duties and fentanyl-related tariffs using emergency powers authorization.Oral arguments before the court earlier this month indicated that multiple justices believed there were constitutional limits built into the emergency tariff powers the administration has claimed during Trump’s second term. A decision is expected before the end of the year. In a statement Monday, a White House spokesman said the administration remains “committed to the tariff policies that have secured trillions in investments to make and hire in America along with unprecedented trade deals for American workers, industries, and farmers.”“President Trump’s September 5th executive order specifically laid out various natural resources and agricultural products not produced in the United States that could be eligible for tariff-free treatment in the context of trade deals — the President’s recent tariff announcement reflects how the Administration has now secured a critical mass of trade deals with countries in the Western Hemisphere, Europe, and Asia,” spokesman Kush Desai said. But whether all the products that were most recently exempted from tariffs fall into the category of “not produced in the United States” is doubtful. Beef and oranges are produced in the United States, for example, and yet they were included on Friday’s list of broad exemptions from all reciprocal tariffs — not just from duties on imports from countries where the U.S. has secured trade deals. In the Friday executive order that rolled back all reciprocal tariffs on certain food products, Trump cited “current domestic demand for certain products, and current domestic capacity to produce certain products.” That definition goes beyond the strict categories of products the United States does not produce and products from countries with which the U.S. has trade agreements. It signals that a desire to cool off price increases is increasingly being seen as a justification for tariff exemptions on some products, like beef.Last week’s announcements are not the first time Trump has signaled a willingness to reconsider his trade stances. Throughout the spring and summer, the president frequently floated higher duties on a trade partner, usually amid ongoing negotiations, only to backtrack on them later. Some on Wall Street eventually dubbed the inevitable reversals “TACO” — “Trump Always Chickens Out.” The back-and-forth announcements served to whipsaw markets, with the president often standing down after major stock indexes experienced declines in response to his threats. It is unlikely tariffs are going away entirely: The White House has signaled it would likely seek to reimpose some duties via other statutes if the Supreme Court rules against Trump’s emergency authority. Just last month, the president announced a slew of new duties on imports including furniture, heavy trucks and pharmaceuticals. The tariffs have also raised billions in revenues — though even with those increased funds, the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has said U.S. lawmakers will “need to identify substantially more deficit reduction to put debt on a sustainable path.” Any ruling that calls for refunds of the collected funds could have unforeseen consequences on the economy. Still, some analysts say the recent tariff rollbacks may have only just begun. “What matters more for the outlook … is the signal that this move sends about the directional shift of future tariff adjustments,” Bernard Yaros, economist with Oxford Economics research group, wrote in a note published Saturday.“As we near the (2026 midterm) election, the administration may broaden these tariff exemptions to a wider swathe of food products.”Rob WileRob Wile is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist covering breaking business stories for NBCNews.com.
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