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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Erika EdwardsMeasles outbreaks continue to simmer and spread across the country, with cases now popping up quickly in Minnesota.On Wednesday, the Minnesota Department of Health alerted residents that it had confirmed 10 new cases since Monday, bringing the state’s tally so far this year to 18.“We have been worried about this all year,” said Dr. Chase Shutak, a pediatrician and medical director at Children’s Minnesota in Minneapolis. “When the outbreaks began in Texas, all of us anticipated that it would eventually work its way up into our state.”Shutak was referring to a massive measles outbreak in West Texas, which totaled 762 cases. Ninety-nine patients needed to be hospitalized as a result of the outbreak, and two young girls died. In Minnesota, as of Thursday afternoon one child had been hospitalized at Children’s Minnesota, a spokesperson said. Most of the Minnesota cases are among families who traveled within the U.S., according to the state’s health department. None of the children had received the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine. It was unclear, however, whether the patients were old enough to qualify for the shots, usually given in two doses starting around age 1. Arizona, too, is dealing with a large, growing outbreak that has spread across the area bordering southwestern Utah. Fifty-nine cases have been confirmed in Arizona, with one hospitalization. Most cases are in Mohave County, located in the state’s far northwestern corner, bordering Utah. “You can safely say that we are actually a part of Northern Arizona’s outbreak,” said David Heaton, public information officer for the Southwest Utah Public Health Department. “There’s one town that straddles the state line, and all of our cases appear to be linked.”Forty-four measles cases have been identified in Utah, largely among unvaccinated young people. Five needed to be admitted to the hospital but have since recovered, Heaton said.If outbreaks continue around the country until the end of January, the United States will lose its status of having had eliminated measles 25 years ago. This week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported a total of 1,544 confirmed measles cases. Of those, just 21 cases were diagnosed in people visiting the U.S. from other countries. The government shutdown hasn’t affected the CDC’s monitoring of the ongoing measles spread, according to a person in leadership who was not authorized to speak to the media.Falling vaccination ratesA recent NBC News investigation found notable declines in childhood vaccination rates in more than three-quarters of counties and jurisdictions since 2019. And among states with data on kids who get the MMR vaccine, 67% don’t have enough coverage for herd immunity.

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Measles outbreaks continue to simmer and spread across the country, with cases now popping up quickly in Minnesota



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Oct. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Steve KopackFor people who closely follow the U.S. economy, the first Friday of every month is known as “jobs Friday,” when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the previous month’s employment report at precisely 8:30 a.m. ET. But on this jobs Friday, September’s employment data — a critical window into the health of the U.S. labor market — will not be released.Like many other federal offices, the BLS is temporarily closed because of the ongoing government shutdown. Until Congress approves its funding, the bureau’s more than 2,000 employees will remain furloughed, unable to release any reports.The data blackout comes at a perilous time for the U.S. economy. The unemployment rate has steadily ticked up this year, from a seasonally adjusted 4% in January to 4.3% in August. On Wednesday, new private-sector employment data released by payroll processing giant ADP showed a net loss of 32,000 jobs in September. Economists had expected a gain of around 45,000 jobs. The surprise loss of private-sector jobs only served to compound the value a Friday jobs report could have provided to policymakers and businesses as they try to make sense of the rapid shifts underway in the labor market.Federal Reserve officials are also considering next steps for interest rates.When the Fed cut borrowing costs last month, Chairman Jerome Powell warned that the overall economic picture was so unusual that central bankers were having a hard time forecasting what would come next. “Ordinarily, when the labor market is weak, inflation is low, and when the labor market is really strong, that’s when you’ve got to be careful about inflation,” Powell said at a mid-September news conference in Washington. Then, as now, the labor market was showing signs of weakness even as inflation crept up.As a result of those dueling forces, “there’s no risk-free path” ahead for the Fed, Powell said. “It’s quite a difficult situation for policymakers.”Fed cuts interest rates, citing ‘risks’ to jobs market01:44Now, the Fed could be forced to make another decision on rates this month without the benefit of key federal data.And it’s not just the jobs report that could go on hiatus.If the shutdown drags on past the middle of October, it could also delay the monthly BLS-produced Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index reports. BLS data on import prices is also expected that week.“Assuming the shutdown is over within a couple of weeks, there should still be plenty of time” for the Fed’s interest rate-setting committee to evaluate September’s jobs data before it meets again at the end of the month, analysts at JPMorgan Chase wrote Thursday.However, “if there is no employment report, then we expect them to focus on available indicators, including ADP, consumer confidence, jobless claims, and other private-sector measures of employment, job openings, and announced job cuts,” the JPMorgan analysts wrote.The Federal Reserve did not immediately reply to a request for comment Thursday about what impact delayed data might have on its upcoming deliberations.The September jobs report is most likely already in its “final draft” form, former BLS Commissioner William Beach wrote in a blog post this week.“Usually, BLS staff present the final draft of the jobs report to the commissioner on Wednesday preceding the Friday publication,” Beach wrote for Fiscal Lab on Capitol Hill, an independent research center that provides economic data to Congress. The final draft allows the BLS commissioner to brief major stakeholders on the day before each jobs Friday, including members of the Federal Reserve board and top White House officials. “The president and his economic team only see the data the day before publication,” Beach wrote. “So, if there is no publication on Friday,” the administration does not get a preview of it on Thursday.Even if the shutdown is resolved in the coming days, it’s still not certain when top officials and the public should expect to see September’s jobs report.In 2013, it took four days after federal agencies reopened following a 17-day government shutdown for BLS to release the previous month’s jobs data. The monthly Consumer Price Index data was not released for more than a week after the shutdown was over. That year, the Fed’s two-day October meeting began with officials still lacking the previous month’s key inflation data. It was only on the second day of the meeting that officials were finally able to review the inflation report, just hours before they announced their interest rate decision. The Federal Reserve building in Washington.Al Drago / Bloomberg via Getty ImagesFurther complicating matters for the Fed is that any shutdown creates additional uncertainty of its own in the economy, as thousands of federal workers’ paychecks are delayed and government services are severely restricted.Still, a government shutdown alone is unlikely to be enough to shift the Fed’s thinking on interest rates. Most economists believe that the current shutdown’s economic impact will be minimal and that any dent to growth will be made up in the coming months.Fed policymakers already face a formidable challenge: predicting how President Donald Trump’s unprecedented, and rapidly evolving, economic policies will affect the labor market and inflation.“With all this change, a dense fog has fallen,” Richmond, Virginia, Fed President Tom Barkin said in March in a lecture at Washington and Lee University in Lexington, Virginia. At the time, Trump had been in office for less than two months and had already set about reversing his predecessor’s economic legacy.“It’s not an everyday ‘forecasting is hard’ type of fog,” Barkin said. “It’s a ‘zero visibility, pull over and turn on your hazards’ type of fog.” Six months later, some of that fog appears to have lifted. But as Powell suggested, it is still difficult for the Fed to see what’s coming next. Steve KopackSteve Kopack is a senior reporter at NBC News covering business and the economy.
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Savewith a NBCUniversal ProfileCreate your free profile or log in to save this articleOct. 3, 2025, 5:00 AM EDTBy Berkeley Lovelace Jr.Most of President Donald Trump’s supporters back keeping enhanced subsidies for Affordable Care Act plans, the central obstacle in ending the government shutdown, according to a new poll from the nonpartisan health policy research group KFF. It was conducted Sept. 23 through Sept. 29, just days before Congress failed to pass a funding measure to keep the government open.More than 22 million people receive the subsidies, which are set to expire at the end of the year unless Congress extends them. Losing the subsidies could mean that average out-of-pocket premium payments could double in 2026, from $888 a year to $1,904, an earlier KFF analysis found.Around 4 million people are projected to go without coverage next year because they can no longer afford it, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Extending them would cost the federal government around $350 billion over the next decade.The new survey found 59% of Republicans and 57% of “Make American Great Again” supporters favor extending the enhanced subsidies.The nationally representative sample of 1,334 adults were asked whether they support extending the subsidies, not whether they support including them in budget negotiations. Whether to include them is a sticking point in the ongoing budget battle, with Democrats arguing they must be extended before open enrollment next month, when many enrollees will be shocked to find their premiums are increasing.Overall, more than three-quarters of the public — 78% — say they want Congress to extend them. That includes 92% of Democrats and 82% of independents.“We get a very clear message that the majority of the public, regardless of their partisanship, regardless of their insurance, support Congress extending these tax credits,” said Ashley Kirzinger, the director of survey methodology and associate director of the public opinion and survey research program at KFF. “It’s really hard to take a benefit away after it’s been given to people.”The enhanced subsidies were put into place under the 2021 American Rescue Plan, which made ACA plans affordable for many middle-class families. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 extended them through 2025.Standard ACA subsidies for people with very low incomes are expected to continue — although their premiums are expected to rise too without the additional tax credit, and they also may be at risk of losing their coverage.According to the poll, about 4 in 10 people with an ACA plan say they would go without insurance if the amount they had to pay each month nearly doubled.Similar shares — 37% — said they would continue to pay for their current health plan, while 2 in 10 say they would get coverage from another source, like an employer.“That’s going to result in a large number of individuals losing health coverage and becoming uninsured,” Kirzinger said. “When people don’t have health coverage, not being able to go to the doctor, not being able to get primary care, it can result in all kinds of detrimental health outcomes.”Dr. Adam Gaffney, a critical care physician and assistant professor at Harvard Medical School, said going without insurance can also devastate people’s finances.“They accrue large bills, debt and even go bankrupt,” he said.Some people who keep their insurance may also take a hit to their finances. When respondents were asked if they could afford coverage if their premiums nearly doubled, 7 in 10 who purchase their own insurance say they would not be able to afford the premiums without significantly cutting back on their household budgets.Despite the risk to peoples’ health and finances, many Americans still don’t know that the enhanced subsidies are set to end.Among people who buy their own coverage, about 6 in 10 said they’ve heard just “a little” or “nothing at all” about the subsidies’ expiration.Art Caplan, the head of the medical ethics division at NYU Langone Medical Center in New York City, said many will learn for the first time when open enrollment begins on Nov. 1.They’re at real risk of “sticker shock,” Caplan said. “And most of these people, who tend to be working-class folks, tend to be more MAGA. They won’t like it.”When people who support extending the subsidies were asked who deserves the most blame if they expire, 39% said President Donald Trump and 37% said Republicans in Congress. Just 22% said that Democrats would deserve the blame.Berkeley Lovelace Jr.Berkeley Lovelace Jr. is a health and medical reporter for NBC News. He covers the Food and Drug Administration, with a special focus on Covid vaccines, prescription drug pricing and health care. He previously covered the biotech and pharmaceutical industry with CNBC.
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