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What’s next in the redistricting fight?

admin - Latest News - November 5, 2025
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NBC News’ Jane Timm joins “Here’s the Scoop” to discuss California’s vote on Proposition 50 — and what it may mean for Democrats in the redistricting fight. Listen to “Here’s the Scoop” wherever you get your podcasts.



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Nov. 5, 2025, 1:25 AM ESTBy Matt Dixon, Henry J. Gomez, Jonathan Allen and Garrett HaakeNo one thought Tuesday was going to be Donald Trump’s election night, but there were even fewer silver linings than many Republicans had hoped. Democrats attacked Trump’s agenda to help score victories in Virginia, where former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger quickly defeated Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears. They also prevailed in the attorney general’s race — where their candidate had been wrapped up in a texting controversy — and made double-digit gains in the state Legislature.Democrats won in New Jersey, where Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill beat Republican Jack Ciattarelli in a race for governor considered the best Tuesday night upset opportunity for the GOP. Democrats also won redistricting efforts in California and got their preferred candidate in the New York mayor’s race. Democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani, a favorite of the left and boogeyman of the political right, beat Trump-endorsed former Democratic New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo.And Democrats also scored much needed victories in nearly every major state-level contest, a helpful night as they try to build on a data-based narrative that Trump and Republicans have tanked the nation’s economy and gone too far right ahead of the 2026 midterms.Off-year elections are often examined for clues about larger trends that will be at play in the midterms. And Tuesday was the beginning of the Republican Party’s future without Trump on the ballot, leaving Democrats riding high. “At long last, it’s a fantastic night to be a Democrat. The wins everywhere were big, deep, and meaningful,” said Matt Bennett, a co-founder of the center-left think tank Third Way.’Turn the volume up’: Mamdani challenges Trump during his victory speech01:15The counterpunch for Republicans is the fact that off-year elections, those held in odd years not during traditional general elections, get less attention and are often poor measures for the overall mood of the electorate. That’s amplified by the fact that Democrat’s biggest wins, the governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey, were in states that generally lean Democratic and Trump lost.“Anyone who is telling you they know exactly what will happen based off tonight is lying,” veteran Republican strategist Matt Gorman said. But for both political parties, Tuesday night will remain a predictable Rorschach Test: You see what you want to see. Democrats can take away from the night results that they won. Their preferred candidates in significant races secured success. Republicans, meanwhile, can brush aside the elections as aberrations and point to the fact that even though they may have lost the short-term battle, they won the war. The win by Mamdani offers Republicans a messaging victory as they will now make Democratic candidates in key House and Senate seats nationally answer for his policy positions considered outside of the mainstream. “If I am a Republican in New York, I did not want him to win because he will be a horrific mayor,” said Jason Thielman, a Republican strategist and former executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. “But if you’re like me and your job is to win races, it’s a no-lose scenario.”Republicans were quick to distance the president from the results. Indeed, there were indications that Trump was unhappy with the quality of some of the party’s candidates and did little to get heavily involved in the races, which were in blue-leaning states. “We did what we needed to do,” said a Trump adviser, who, like others, was granted anonymity to speak candidly. “We got in late, but understood the dynamics. It was a lose-lose for Republicans if he became a main driver of the election cycle.”Trump said part of the reasons Republicans lost was because he wasn’t on the ballot, and that there was a government shutdown — which, he seemed to indicate, is hurting his own party the most.“‘TRUMP WASN’T ON THE BALLOT, AND SHUTDOWN, WERE THE TWO REASONS THAT REPUBLICANS LOST ELECTIONS TONIGHT,’ according to Pollsters,” he wrote.Some voters say Ciattarelli’s links to Trump worked against him in the race for governor02:01A plurality of voters in the races for governor in New Jersey and Virginia, and a majority of voters in the New York mayoral contest, said Trump was not a factor in their decision, according to the NBC News Exit Poll. But among those who said their choice was motivated by the president, more cast their vote to oppose Trump rather than did to support him.Most voters in those elections, as well as in California, also are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the country, and they continue to express concern about financial issues and the economy, according to the exit poll.In New Jersey, for example, Sherrill won 60% of voters who ranked the economy as one of the most important issues. And in Virginia, Spanberger won over voters who expressed concerns about their personal financial wellbeing — one of the most important issues in that race. “Hopefully some folks get the clue that we need to be talking about and doing something about the economy,” said one Republican strategist who has worked on presidential and congressional campaigns.“I’m hearing the president is getting it, the outstanding question is if his team does,” this person added. “I just know he’s asking a lot of questions, the right ones, as to why more wasn’t done and why adjustments haven’t been made.”Democrats quickly heralded the results as a harbinger for the 2026 midterms.“My fellow Virginians, tonight we sent a message, a message to every corner of the commonwealth — a message to our neighbors and our fellow Americans across the country,” Spanberger said in her victory speech. “We sent a message to the whole world that in 2025, Virginia chose pragmatism over partisanship. We chose our commonwealth over chaos. You all chose leadership that will focus relentlessly on what matters most: lowering costs, keeping our communities safe and strengthening our economy for every Virginian.”Early in the night, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., called it a “rout for Democrats across the country” that foreshadows his party’s takeover next year.“What we said from the very beginning of this year is that we need to relentlessly focus on driving down the high cost of living and fixing the broken health care system that Donald Trump and Republicans are making worse by the day,” Jeffries said in an interview with NBC News. “As long as we stay on these kitchen table pocketbook issues — while, of course, addressing the extremism that Donald Trump and Republicans continue to unleash on the American people — what we’re seeing tonight, is going to be replicated a year from now when Democrats take back control of the House of Representatives,” Jeffries added.NBC News’ Steve Kornacki breaks down Virginia election results01:36Rep. Brendan Boyle, D-Pa., told NBC News that any Republican in a district Trump won by single digits is “highly vulnerable.”“After tonight’s results any House Republican in even a somewhat competitive district should be petrified of next year’s congressional elections,” Boyle said.Others, however, were more cautious about reading into the broader implications for off-year elections.Michael Ceraso, a Democratic strategist, said the results are a small sample size and that the party shouldn’t get too comfortable.“There is no clear ideological path for this party and this is a huge challenge for us,” Ceraso said. “These elections tonight are more about who we are than about President Trump. And, Trump is like a bad relationship. When it’s all you know, you stick with it. I don’t trust voters want to break up with him yet. I trust they want to complain about him. But they may still believe he’ll come through for them.”Trump kept himself mostly scarce during campaigns. He endorsed Ciattarelli in New Jersey, but not Earle-Sears in Virginia. During a Monday night tele-rally for Virginia candidates, he never mentioned Earle-Sears. Those among Trump’s inner circle expressed no regrets Tuesday about his arm’s length — or further — approach. “The demographics on New Jersey are what they are,” said a top outside Trump adviser, who noted that the president’s political machine spent more than $1 million on Ciattarelli’s behalf. Democrats, this person added, “have a larger pool of voters to draw from.”Another person familiar with the White House’s strategy said Trump “endorsed to give [Ciattarelli] a shot, because he got close last time,” but acknowledged that Trump “did not go all-in.”“Don’t try to fix what you can’t,” this person added. “Play for the team but be realistic and ruthless when it comes to resource deployment. Just like the [2024 presidential] campaign.” As for Earle-Sears, the outside ally was more blunt, saying she was a “horrible candidate.” Trump had spent months warning about Mamdani, but he endorsed Cuomo’s independent bid only on the eve of Election Day, arguing that a vote for Republican Curtis Sliwa was a “vote for Mamdani.” A person close to the White House described Trump’s last-minute nod toward Cuomo as more of a Hail Mary pass in a game already lost.“That race was gone three weeks ago,” this person said. “He knew it.”A former Trump campaign official offered a silver lining — that Trump and the Republicans could now make Mamdani a millstone for Democrats in next year’s elections.“Too little, too late,” this person said of the Cuomo endorsement. “But I’d bet [Trump] wants his archrival lined up for the midterms.”Matt DixonMatt Dixon is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News, based in Florida.Henry J. GomezHenry J. Gomez is a senior national political reporter for NBC NewsJonathan AllenJonathan Allen is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News. Garrett HaakeGarrett Haake is NBC News’ senior White House correspondent.Yamiche Alcindor, Stephanie Perry and Natasha Korecki contributed.
NEXT
Nov. 5, 2025, 1:36 AM ESTBy The Politics DeskWelcome to a special-post election edition of From the Politics Desk, a newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.Sign up to receive this newsletter in your inbox every weekday here.Democrats sweep the first major elections of 2025Democrats scored a series of victories across the country Tuesday on the first major Election Day of President Donald Trump’s second term. The NBC News Exit Poll found that voters in Virginia, New Jersey, New York City and California expressed broad dissatisfaction with Trump. Most voters in those elections were also sour on the direction of the country as they expressed worries about financial issues and the economy.Even though voters generally did not hold positive views of either party, Democratic campaigns were able to capitalize on other areas of concern, giving the party a desperately needed boost one year out from the midterms. Here are the most notable results from the night:Virginia: Democrat Abigail Spanberger defeated Republican Winsome Earle-Sears to flip control of the state’s governorship, setting her up to become the first woman to lead the state.Democrats found success across the board in Virginia. Jay Jones won the election for Virginia attorney general, overcoming a text message scandal that threatened to derail his candidacy in the final stretch of the race. State Sen. Ghazala Hashmi became the first Muslim American woman elected to statewide office in the U.S. with her victory in the lieutenant governor’s race. And the party expanded its majority in the state House of Delegates. New Jersey: Democrats won the other governor’s race of the evening, with Rep. Mikie Sherrill defeating Republican Jack Ciattarelli after a race she worked to make a referendum on Trump. New York City: Democrat Zohran Mamdani won the mayoral race, after the 34-year-old democratic socialist energized progressives around the country. In his victory speech after vanquishing former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, Mamdani claimed a broad mandate and set himself up in direct opposition to Trump, who made a late endorsement against him. “In this moment of political darkness, New York will be the light,” Mamdani said.California: Voters approved a new congressional map drawn by state Democrats, giving the party the chance to gain up to five House seats next year and counter Republican redistricting efforts in other states.Pennsylvania: Voters approved the retention of three Pennsylvania Supreme Court justices, preserving Democrats’ 5-2 majority on the battleground state’s high court. The rest: Maine will soon become the 22nd state to have an “extreme risk protection” gun law, also known as a “red flag law” — part of a slew of state ballot measures voters around the country considered, on issues from raising taxes on higher earners to parental rights and voting rules.The GOP’s view: No one thought Tuesday was going to be Trump’s election night, but there were even fewer silver linings than many Republicans had hoped, Matt Dixon, Henry J. Gomez, Jonathan Allen and Garrett Haake report. Still, Republicans were brushing aside the off-year races as aberrations that aren’t predictive of the 2026 midterms. That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner.If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.comAnd if you’re a fan, please share with everyone and anyone. They can sign up here. The Politics Desk    
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Oct. 27, 2025, 5:40 PM EDTBy Steve KopackPresident Donald Trump’s tariffs are hitting toy giants Mattel and Hasbro as the critical holiday season nears. Still, both companies see a successful year end ahead.“This quarter, our U.S. business was again challenged by industry-wide shifts in retailer ordering patterns,” CEO Ynon Kreiz said on Mattel’s recent earnings call. “That said, consumer demand for our products grew in every region, including in the U.S.” During the most recent quarter, which ended Sept. 30, Mattel said sales slipped 6% globally, led by a 12% decline in North America. International sales rose 3%. Some of the company’s top performing categories included Hot Wheels and action figures, primarily from the “Jurassic World,” Minecraft and WWE franchises. Other Mattel brands saw a drop in sales, however, including Barbie and Fisher-Price.With retail stores waiting until the last minute to assess the level of tariffs that would apply to their holiday orders, Kreiz said “since the beginning of the fourth quarter, orders from retailers in the U.S. have accelerated significantly.”Retailers “expect strong demand for the holiday and they are restocking,” he added. Meanwhile, rival toy giant Hasbro’s revenue jumped 8% in the quarter and it raised its financial guidance for the rest of the year. Key drivers of that included “Peppa Pig” and Marvel franchise toys, as well as the Wizards of the Coast games. Hasbro “managed tariff volatility with agility” and used price hikes to protect its margins, said Gina Goetter, the company’s chief financial officer and chief operating officer.The company remains “firmly on track” to achieve its financial targets.“As we calculate the various scenarios of where that absolute rates will play out, we’re really putting all of our levers to work,” she said on the company’s recent earnings call. “From how we think about pricing, how we’re thinking about our product mix, how we’re thinking about our supply chain, and how we’re managing all of our operating expenses to mitigate and offset the impact” of tariffs, she said.For its part, Hasbro also saw “softness” in the U.S. during the quarter due to retail chains waiting longer to place holiday orders, but said momentum is accelerating as the season gets underway.In July, Mattel’s chief financial officer, Paul Ruh, said that the company was raising prices because of tariffs. “We have implemented a variety of actions that will help us withstand some of those headwinds and those include … supply chain efficiencies and some pricing adjustments, particularly in the U.S.,” Ruh said on the company’s earnings conference call.“So with that array of actions, we’re able to withstand some of the uncertainty that is mostly coming in the top line,” Ruh said. “Our goal is to keep prices as low as possible for our consumers.”Still, Kreiz said that “consumers are buying our products and the toy industry is growing.”He also said that consumers are taking price hikes in stride and those increases haven’t hurt demand: “We are not seeing any slowdown in consumer demand so far.”Hasbro CEO Chris Cocks said the company has also raised some prices, but it was “pretty surgical” in what it chose to adjust.“In terms of ongoing pricing, I think we just kind of have to see how the holiday goes and the consumer holds up,” he told analysts on the company’s earnings call. Cocks also cautioned that there may be a two-tier economy forming, something other executives and economists have observed in recent months.“Right now, I think it’s really kind of a tale of two consumers. The top 20%, particularly in the U.S., continue to spend pretty robustly,” he said. “The balance of households are watching their wallets a bit more.”On Friday, the Labor Department released the latest consumer price index data, which showed that inflation is rising at a 3% annual pace, up from August’s 2.9%.In May, Kreiz told CNBC that approximately half of the company’s toys were sourced from China. Beijing has faced some of the steepest tariffs from Washington of any U.S. trade partner, as Trump has rolled out his disruptive trade agenda this year.Mattel’s Ruh said the company continued to adjust its supply chains in response to shifting global tariff policies.“We will be continuing to work with our retailers to make sure that the product is on the shelf,” he said.At the same time, Hasbro’s Goetter said the company is diversifying its supply chains away from high-tariff countries.“By 2026, we expect approximately 30% of our total Hasbro toy and game revenue will be sourced from China and 30% of our revenue will be based in the U.S., as we opportunistically lean into our U.S. manufacturing capacity,” she said. Steve KopackSteve Kopack is a senior reporter at NBC News covering business and the economy.
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